CAPD News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM BARCLAYS BANK PLC IPATH SHILLER CAPE ETN From 04/01/22

Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...

A confluence of negative factors set U.S. stocks up for a difficult start to 2022. However, we see both a short- and longer-term opportunity taking shape. Intraday market volatility has been dramatic and stock selling has become indiscriminate, as is often the case in big market swing...

Our view on U.S. large caps remains unchanged, but it was already negative due to stretched valuations and the interest rate sensitivity baked into that segment’s growth-oriented profile. High inflation, rising rates and slowing growth is a potentially poisonous mix for equity ...

European stocks actually performed better than the NASDAQ last week so maybe it was positive developments in the Ukraine war that spurred the rally. The dollar index fell nearly 1% last week but is still in an uptrend across shorter time frames. What the market does on a week to w...

The pandemic forced central banks to slash rates and restart the quantitative easing measures first rolled out during the financial crisis. Near-zero interest rates in the United States and negative rates in Europe have compressed net interest income. After several years of strong...

Historical analysis shows that value exposures have tended to outperform in a rising yield environment as it coincides with rising inflation. In a rising rate environment, traditional bonds can lose value, but investors should not write off fixed income exposure altogether. Exposu...

We believe value is likely to outperform growth over the coming years and threats to economic growth from inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks do not change our view. The global economy, led by the U.S., was growing rapidly as it reopened from the coronavirus pandemic. Yea...

The yield curve has flattened considerably and the spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield is currently just 25 basis points. Many of the large, popular stocks are still grossly overvalued in my opinion. Value stocks continue to outperform. For further details s...

Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...