CCRV News and Press, ISHARES US ETF TR From 03/18/22

The Russia-Ukraine war will further exacerbate supply chain problems affecting commodity prices as well as energy-dependent and related industries. Delivery times and input price growth eased, but material and labor shortages are at the historical highs in the EU in industry, construc...

Historical analysis shows that value exposures have tended to outperform in a rising yield environment as it coincides with rising inflation. In a rising rate environment, traditional bonds can lose value, but investors should not write off fixed income exposure altogether. Exposu...

As in the 1970s, we face an energy crisis. The outcome is soaring crude oil prices. Now, as then, crude oil is spiking. Why are then soybeans and copper prices acting the same as crude oil? For further details see: Sell Crude Oil, Soybeans, And Copper - They Have Too...

This past week marked the 13th anniversary of the bottom of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007-2009. The March 6, 2009 stock market low for the S&P 500 marked a staggering overall value loss of 51.9%. The Fed was expected to raise interest rates by as much as 50 basis point...

Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...

Inflation and its implications for real economic growth are the main portfolio positioning consideration of the conflict in Ukraine. On the 8th of March, the U.S. sanctioned Russian energy imports, giving companies 45 days to comply. Higher commodity prices are not the only factor...

The yield curve has flattened considerably and the spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield is currently just 25 basis points. Many of the large, popular stocks are still grossly overvalued in my opinion. Value stocks continue to outperform. For further details s...

President Biden implemented a ban on crude oil imports from Russia, which caused crude to hit 130.50. Nickel has gone through the roof as a consequence of supply issues related to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Green energy and other possible energy sources cannot, at this point...

Events in Europe were seen as boosting global inflationary pressures and complicating supply chain disruptions. US producers are beginning to feel the effects of the inflationary environment via higher input costs. Most commodities are trading above the marginal cost of supply and...

Extreme monetary and fiscal policy would lead to inflation. Couple that with extreme supply chain issues, and here we are with really high inflation - highest inflation that we've seen really since the past 40 years. Our biggest risk right now is that we become entrenched. The psychol...