CMDY News and Press, iShares Bloomberg Roll Select Commodity Strategy From 06/30/21

FOMC change of tone took some wind out of commodity's sail but not for long. Precious metals have lost appeal until safe haven demand picks up. Oil prices have a floor and should be range-bound. Base metals and grains will ride a secular bull market higher after a pause. ...

Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled. Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive ...

PIMCO’s baseline outlook for the cyclical horizon has the global economy continuing its uneven recovery before shifting to a more moderate pace of above-trend growth in 2022. With the pandemic receding across much of the world, policy support has also likely peaked and will tur...

One risk on investors’ minds hasn’t been much of a factor in nearly a decade: inflation. By the end of 2020, despite real assets regaining some ground, the return deficit was –6.8%. Actually, when evaluated on multiple dimensions—inflation sensitivity, ...

The global economy has reached an important milestone in the second quarter of 2021, surpassing the pre-pandemic real GDP peak attained in the fourth quarter of 2019. After a 3.5% contraction in 2020, global real GDP is projected to increase 6.0% in 2021, its strongest advance since 1...

The real drama was not on the day of the FOMC statement and Powell’s press conference, but when St. Louis Fed President James Bullard was on CNBC’s Squawk Box last Friday. That’s what caused the most severe repercussions in stocks, bonds, and commodities. Retail i...

Based on 63-day rolling correlation window analysis conducted by Warren Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, equity-bond correlation levels have spiked to levels rarely seen in the last two decades. During the last 6 to 7 months, and particularly in 2021 to date, commodity prices have...

At the FOMC meeting, the median outlook for core inflation this year drifted up to three percent from 2.1 percent (though the long-term inflation outlook didn’t change). Of more direct market consequence, the median “dot plot” around the Fed funds rate in 2023 had...

While some investors welcomed the dramatic increase in commodities prices so far this year, others saw them as a warning sign of real inflation coming to the United States and other markets. A recent survey of fund managers found that nearly three-quarters of them believe that inflati...

Fast-rising inflation could have major economic consequences with implications that reach far beyond the checkout aisle. The best-known measure of inflation, the Consumer Price Index [CPI], rose 5% in May 2021 compared with the same month last year — the biggest annual rise sin...