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Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled.
Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive growth, commodities stumbled and lumber slumped, and the U.S. dollar strengthened.
While both the debate and the pricing in markets have moved decisively from one-way to two-way in recent weeks, over a 12-month horizon we do not see much of a change in the fundamentals.