CMDY News and Press, iShares Bloomberg Roll Select Commodity Strategy From 10/18/21

We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....

Risk appetite lifts from one-year low amid expectations of improving near-term market. Sentiment remains subdued by uncertain policy outlooks and political climate. Financials see the strongest favor followed by energy stocks. Tech sees the biggest outlook downgrade. The broad...

The I.M.F.’s latest update estimates 2022 global economic growth will be 17% lower than in 2021. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast began August above 6% and is now tracking at 1.3%. Only when valuations have collapsed back below long-term means and laboured there long enough ...

Bonds sold off again last week, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury closing over 1.6% for the first time since early June. But this rise in rates is at least a little different than the fall that preceded it. When nominal rates fell from April through July, real rates fell right al...

The latest leading economic data indicate that the US recovery/expansion is intact and that US GDP will continue to grow at an above-average rate for at least two more quarters, albeit not as quickly as it grew during the first half of this year. Note that the GDP growth number for Q3...

After rising 90% from its March 2020 low, the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index which tracks 23 energy, metals and crop futures contracts, yesterday surpassed its previous all-time (fleeting) highs touched in 2011 and 2008. Chinese credit impulse has been contracting since last spring an...

Risk-adjusted performance continued to rise in September for the Global Market Index (GMI), an unmanaged, market-value-weighted portfolio that holds all the major asset classes (except cash). GMI’s 0.97 Sharpe ratio is close to the highest levels reached in recent history. ...

Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...

Global markets suffered their broadest retreat in a year during September. The bullish exception: commodities, which delivered a solid gain last month. Notably, US stocks and bonds lost ground, giving support to concerns that the historical diversification benefits of pairing the two ...

The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...