DBP News and Press, Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund From 05/26/22

Inflation is hurting retail sales. For the past couple of months, inflation has been hurting the economy. Interest rates appear to have topped out. The cost of money is starting to price the stock market as going into under-valued territory. This situation is taken bullishly b...

The economy and stock market have been built on massive stimulus and liquidity from a rapidly expanding money supply. Over the past three years, M2 growth has averaged 14.3% annualized. Inflation is an expansion of the Money Supply that generally leads to higher prices. For ...

Today's U.S. economic data is gloomy and points toward worsening conditions and eventual recession. Just as Bullard and Bostic warned, rate hike expectations are now falling. And the bad news just keeps piling up not just in the United States but around the globe. For furthe...

Gold tends to become more valuable when the real interest rate is trending downward and less valuable when the real interest rate is trending upward. The only way to get an accurate read on the real U.S. interest rate trend is via the yields on Treasury Inflation Protected Securities....

Gold fell through fragile support as the Fed turned up the hawkish talk. Silver fell even as margin rates were being lowered. Gold and silver are very highly correlated but do not move in perfect lockstep. For further details see: Technical Analysis: Has This Gold Pullba...

The Fed and other central bankers are getting very hawkish. I appreciate how much it scares gold investors. But don't worry. The stock market is already significantly down from its January 2022 highs. So, it is unlikely the Fed would hike the rates dramatically from their current leve...

Our rising price problem is, more than anything, a supply problem, and reducing demand is certainly one way to tackle it. But returning to the pre-COVID growth rate doesn’t mean we are headed to recession, that contraction is in our immediate future. US stocks and REITs wer...

Now is not the time to plan. This is the time to execute the plan. The plan started months ago in the case of stocks but years ago in the case of our bond holdings. We have been warning about inflation and have been adding to our core oil and gold holdings since late 2020. They have b...

While Banks and Commercials ostensibly remain heavily short Gold, Hedge Funds have slashed their net long position to 62k contracts. Swaps and Other Reps' combined net short position of 54k contracts is almost the mirror image of the Funds’ net long position of 62k. Positio...

The metal broke below down trendline support last week amid broad-based weakness in metals, but the downside break has since been nullified by a relatively strong bounce. Silver is now trading at record low levels based on its historical correlation with gold and the commodity complex...