DJP News and Press, iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return ETN From 11/01/21

Commodities are on the move again, with lumber, copper, aluminum, crude oil and natural gas making significant gains from their pre-pandemic levels. Supply disruptions and a push toward sustainability may be driving the commodity boom, even as fiscal stimulus and low rate policies als...

The major US equity indices moved in concert, but the big disappointment so far this year has been small caps. Energy is clearly where the action is this year. After spending years at the bottom of the tables, Natural Gas, Gasoline, and Crude Oil now lead the pack. For furth...

While the stock market (as defined by the cap-weighted S&P 500 index) is up, almost 70% of stocks are currently in an intermediate-term downtrend, all while new lows start to show up underneath the surface. More evidence is appearing that suggests inflation is becoming a problem, ...

Consensus remains cautiously positive on the economic and market outlook for the coming year, but for the first time in 18 months, we have started trimming risk in our views, advocating building dry powder to take advantage of opportunities that arise due to potential short-term market vo...

Real estate earnings season kicks off this week. We'll see results from more than 175 equity REITs, 40 mortgage REITs, and dozens of housing industry companies over the next month. REITs enter third-quarter earnings season as the second-best-performing asset class this year with total...

We noted in our quarterly letter that every brokerage house on the Street was bearish and telling its customers to expect stocks to move into a correction. We also reminded you that one of Reilly’s Rules is that when everyone expects something to happen something else usually does....

Risk appetite lifts from one-year low amid expectations of improving near-term market. Sentiment remains subdued by uncertain policy outlooks and political climate. Financials see the strongest favor followed by energy stocks. Tech sees the biggest outlook downgrade. The broad...

The I.M.F.’s latest update estimates 2022 global economic growth will be 17% lower than in 2021. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast began August above 6% and is now tracking at 1.3%. Only when valuations have collapsed back below long-term means and laboured there long enough ...

Bonds sold off again last week, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury closing over 1.6% for the first time since early June. But this rise in rates is at least a little different than the fall that preceded it. When nominal rates fell from April through July, real rates fell right al...

The latest leading economic data indicate that the US recovery/expansion is intact and that US GDP will continue to grow at an above-average rate for at least two more quarters, albeit not as quickly as it grew during the first half of this year. Note that the GDP growth number for Q3...