DLBS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L444 From 03/25/19

Is it different this time? Popular measures of the yield curve, including the 10-year vs. 3-month Treasury spread, have inverted which has caused interest rates to move to the front page. Interest rates are always on my front page in terms of analyzing markets and we accurately predicted t...

With the Fed pivot last week and the inversion of the yield curve, sentiment has swiftly surrendered to the bearish side. Indeed, it's entirely possible that the Fed even takes preemptive action and eases further, e.g. with rate cuts. But here's at least a hypothetical question, what if infl...

Bear markets for U.S. equities, including the one which began on August 31, 2018 for the Russell 2000, feature repeated market overreactions which occur much more rapidly and consistently than in bull markets. Investors will become increasingly confused as to what is happening and will repeate...

By Erik Knutzen, Chief Investment Officer—Multi-Asset Class As the Fed turns more dovish, a familiar fairy-tale heroine returns - but will there be another happy ending? When Tim Berners-Lee conceived of the World Wide Web 30 years ago, he probably wasn't thinking about how vita...

The question we are getting this weekend is why did the market go down so much on Friday? The answer is the yield curve. What is the yield curve and why should I care? Remember when you bought your first house? If you were like me, you sat at a table or box in the house and counted change to s...

This weekly chart of the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), shows it bumping into formidable resistance at the 200-week moving average. For readers, 44% of the AGG is "Government" with 39% of the 44% Being Treasuries, 25% of the AGG is corporate credit risk and 26% is "securitized" ...

If you are not immersed in the parlance of nautical warning, I will elucidate. " Batten down the hatches " is an order a captain barks to his crew when his ship is in peril because of rough weather. I'd say CNBC and most other media covering the daily ups and downs of the market were in the sa...

In this article, we explore how starkly sentiment has shifted on the fundamentals outlook. From the heights of euphoria at the beginning of last year, there now seems to be a deepening sense of fear on the fundamentals outlook. Bears will say it's the end of the cycle and this is exactly to be...

It is a big economic calendar with almost every report on housing released in a single week. This is the result of the shutdown delay. Now we can get more clarity on this important sector. Pundits will be asking: Are lower mortgage rates helping home sales? Last Week Recap In last w...

The news coming out of the bond market at the end of the week was the inversion of the yield curve. The concern: every time the yield curve has been inverted in modern times, the US economy has always gone into a recession. Let me just issue a word of caution here. We are in a new era. T...