DLBS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L444 From 05/16/19

Let's start with the good news: while many worry indicators are rising today, along with the decline in stocks, the US dollar is weaker. It will be hard to declare if a risk-off environment has fully gripped the markets without a meaningful surge in the safe-haven dollar (see figure 4), which ...

In the past few years, I wrote a lot about the unprecedented credit crisis I foresee. I call it “The Great Reset.” I have to add, it isn’t what I think the future should look like or what I want to see. But almost the entire developed world has painted itself into a...

By William J. Luther There is little doubt that the Federal Reserve's failure to stabilize nominal spending in 2008 and 2009 resulted in a severe economic contraction . Production slumped and the unemployment rate climbed to 10 percent. But, in recent years, some have claimed that monetar...

On Tuesday evening, I cautioned against the overriding tendency to couch the bounce in US equities in terms of "optimism" on trade. It's fine to explain a rebound in terms of a shift in the market narrative, but only if there is in fact a perceptible shift, and as of Tuesday, the outlook for...

Maybe it's a reaction to the recent escalation in the US-China trade conflict. Or perhaps the crowd is turning more cautious because of the runup in global equity markets earlier in 2019, before the trade row between Washington and Beijing undercut the bulls. Whatever the reason, yields on key...

Since I have been updating many of my expectations this week, I thought I would write a quick article on bonds too. To recap where we have come from, we successfully called the top to the bond market back in 2016, and then re-entered the long side of the bond market when [[TLT]] dropped just...

By Jenna Barnard, CFA Foreign bonds can offer diversification benefits, but many non-U.S. developed markets offer subpar yields. Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, argues how this seeming disadvantage can be turned into a benefit for U.S. dollar-based bond strategies that p...

By Kevin Flanagan I don't want to bore you with just another blog post on the Fed. So, instead of debating whether the policymakers at the Fed should cut rates, stay on the sidelines or, dare I say it, raise rates, let's turn our attention elsewhere... their balance sheet. The Fed has been...

Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 14, 2019. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] Here is our monthly update on what's happening on the monetary inflation front in a few different regions/countries. The G2 (US plus euro-zone) monetary ...

Census has released the current consumer price index numbers for the United States . The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent in April on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.4 percent in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported t...