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Originally posted on June 11, 2019 ZeroHedge, in its typical eloquent fashion, noted last week that stocks are from Mars but bonds are from Venus, in describing the downdraft of U.S. Treasury bond yields and the significant rebound in the stock market. The two do not rhyme very well, which...

Originally published on June 11, 2019 The financial news media has switched its obsession from trade tariffs to a coming Fed rate cut, so the news media is finally reporting some more positive news for a change and the market "melted up" by almost 5% last week, recovering more than two-thi...

David Beckworth: Our guest today is Robert Samuelson. Robert is an economics columnist for The Washington Post, and spent several decades also working at Newsweek writing on economics. Robert is the author of several books, including The Good Life and Its Discontent: The American Dream in th...

1. The USA is bankrupt, part 3,478. It's been at least 1 or 2 blog posts since I talked about the USA being bankrupt so I would be remiss if I didn't remind you that the USA is actually not bankrupt at all . This chart comes to us courtesy of Mary Meeker's annual internet report . Now,...

When, last week, the Treasury issued its currency manipulation report , I thought it was a joke. The Treasury put Germany and Italy on its "monitoring list" of countries suspected of "currency manipulation." Germany and Italy are, of course, part of the Euro, the whole point of which is...

Good news on the monetary policy front. The Fed has been signaling a willingness to ease, and currently, futures markets are predicting a 25 basis-point rate deduction in July (with some probability even of a 50 bp deduction!). Initially, this brought the yield curve down out to several year...

Posted by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on June 10, 2019, in Market & Economic Weekly Market Compass: US cancels its tariffs on Mexico, China warns against traveling to the US, and central banks appear more open to accommodation A collective sigh of reli...

Treasury bond volatility is picking up. That’s a big red flag for the credit market – and yet another sign that the U.S. economic cycle is slowing. Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough and Macro analyst Darius Dale explain in the clip above how a rise in bond market volatility ...

Years ago before the "Bernanke has all the answers" era, many of us criticized Japan for failing to own its problems. In many ways, the Fed has put America and the global economy on a path that mirrors the same unsuccessful path taken by Japan. This path avoided real reform and bailed out the ...

The bond market is currently a puzzle derived from an enigma influenced by an anomaly. Or is it? Here are some bullets. Riskless overnight US government cash equivalents yield more than 2- or 5- or 7- or 10-year maturity instruments of the same credit risk. That means a market based foreca...