DLBS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L444 From 07/01/19

Most investors may be surprised to know that historically the 10-Yr/2-Yr and 10-Yr/3-Mo yield curve spreads tend to invert in tandem. Specifically, until this business cycle, the 10-Yr/2-Yr spread has consistently inverted prior to the 10-yr/3-Mo. This relationship goes back to the 1970s whe...

David Beckworth: Our guests today are Sam Bell and Skanda Amarnath. Sam and Skanda along with Kim Stiens are part of a new organization called Employ America, a new research and advocacy organization that aims to get better labor market outcomes. Sam was also known on FOMC Twitter as an infl...

Why Worry About Inflation? The usual end of a boom is when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates in order to choke off inflation. We'd thus like to keep an eye upon the Fed raising interest rates, bringing the economic growth to a halt for a while. The obvious reason being that stocks, e...

By Eric Winograd The Fed left its benchmark rate unchanged this week, but also signaled a very high probability of cuts later this year. Historically, rate cuts have been a sign of trouble - typically made in response to slower growth and rising unemployment. But this time around, growth d...

By Brad Tank, Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income; Ugo Lancioni, Head of Global Currency Is recent U.S. dollar weakness a resumption of the downtrend that started at the end of 2016? Today's CIO Weekly Perspectives comes from Fixed Income CIO Brad Tank and guest contributor Ug...

Review & Update On Thursday and Friday, the markets mustered a "Pre-G20 rally" in anticipation of a positive outcome from the meeting between President Trump and Xi. I will discuss the outcome of this meeting in just a moment. The good news is that June was one of the best-performing...

For the third time in the last five months, inflation expectations have matched record lows. To hear officials and Economists talk, you'd think they were at or nearing record highs. The unemployment rate, after all, is at a 50-year low point which by mainstream reckoning should mean the cusp o...

It's not so stealthy. This is the transcript from my podcast, THE WOLF STREET REPORT : Let me just throw this out there for us to kick around: The Fed has already accomplished more with its verbiage so far this year than it had in the past when it actually cut rates multiple times, al...

On Wednesday, Goldman slashed their G10 yield forecasts for 2019 and the revisions were pretty dramatic . For instance, the bank now sees 10-year German yields at -0.55% by year-end and 10-year JGB yields at -0.30%. The bank's outlook is well below market forwards. To a certain extent, ...

By Schwab Center for Financial Research In the first half of 2019, major stock indexes including the S&P 500® reached new highs, yet the outlook for global economic growth softened. Recession risk has risen, and rising tariffs have created even more uncertainty. We believe a few...