DLBS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L444 From 01/25/19

Over the past month, there has been an interesting parallel between the price of oil and the yield on bonds. Toward the end of December 2018, the price of oil dropped to a near-term low, closing one day at $42.53. Since then, the price has risen, reaching its latest near-term high of just unde...

By Kathy A Jones We ended 2018 with a cautious outlook. Our concerns centered on the effect of the Federal Reserve's policy tightening on the economy and the market's appetite for risk, at a time when valuations for bonds were high. We suggested a cautious approach to riskier areas of the ...

A Return To Normalcy In the first two years after a newly elected President takes office he enacts a major tax cut that primarily benefits the wealthy and significantly raises tariffs on imports. His foreign policy is erratic but generally pulls the country back from foreign commitments. He ...

Many analysts doubt a no-deal Brexit is likely. They think some last-minute agreement will emerge. In theory, a “hard” Brexit is in no one’s interest. It makes no sense, the logic goes. So it won’t happen. The problem is that politicians may have entirely differ...

I expect that I will discuss probit recession models further in later articles, but I first want to have a long detour to discuss the use of the yield curve as an input to those models. It is not surprising that the yield curve has worked as a recession indicator, but we need to be cautious ab...

Video Transcript Tom Butcher: I'm here today with David Schassler who heads up VanEck's Portfolio and Risk Solutions or PARS group. David, thanks so much for joining me today. David Schassler: Tom, thank you very much. Butcher: What do you see as the broad risks in the market at the...

The global media seems endlessly fascinated by the question of whether monetary policy in the US is too easy or too tight, even as the Fed comes amazingly close to hitting its targets. I suppose this interest can be partly justified by the size and influence of the US, which David Beckworth ca...

By Barrington Pitt Miller Equity analyst Barrington Pitt Miller explains how a vulnerable market infrastructure may lead to a liquidity crunch with dire consequences in key markets. Recent market volatility illustrates that investors are processing an array of risks. Among these are sh...

As noted in our Winter 2018 Investor Letter, following passage of the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, the reduction in corporate tax rates caused analysts to revise their earnings growth expectations higher to nearly 24% for 2018. Given a number of positives, further upside in equity markets was anticip...

To be an interested observer of things in the summer of 2013 was to be awash in the awareness of so many contradictions packed into one little piece of history. Forward guidance, for one, recognized the effects of markets. If QE was really effective, interest rates would rise not fall in antic...