DOG News and Press, ProShares Short Dow30 From 05/19/22

Five of the world’s most prominent exchange traded funds, which cumulatively manage more than $1T of investor capital and track the major U.S. equity averages, are again falling in Thursday's pre-market trading as Wall Street looks poised for another risk-off session. While the S&P...

This article is a short outline of what I see as the macroeconomic effects of a possible continuation of weakness in crypto financial markets. The direct effects would be small, although weakness in crypto is interleaved with the fortunes of the tech sector. It is certainly possib...

This year has seen significant volatility in credit markets given the tumultuous macroeconomic backdrop and hawkish Federal Reserve. Investment-grade bonds, bank loans, and high-yield bonds could perform differently now than in prior risk-off periods due to asset class-specific develo...

Among the most challenging aspects of late has been to try and hold a positive medium-term (one- to three-year) view in the midst of very aggressive, downward-facing, fast-moving, cross-asset selloffs. While inflation does seem to have peaked along with expectations and breakevens, th...

The overall global economic slowdown, plus China’s Covid lockdowns, are taking a toll. Apple and GE have warned their distributors about production and delivery problems due to China. Another example is falling vehicle sales in April in China for BMW, VW Group, and Tesla. Since...

The Fed takes a potentially aggressive path in an effort to tame inflation. Investors fear a recession may be on the horizon. We’ve looked at how stocks tend to perform in the period between yield curve inversions and the start of a recession (when it has occurred). Given t...

The pure pandemic beneficiary names – companies like Zoom, Peloton, and the ARK funds – have given back all of their pandemic stock market gains and then some. If we do have a recession sometime in the next twelve months, it doesn’t appear as though an unknown ass...

The 10-year vs. two-year US Treasury yield curve momentarily inverted, and many are worried about the negative signals this may send for risk assets and the economy at large. Under normal conditions, the yield-curve trends upward as duration increases; longer-term bonds offer more yie...

Market commentary I have been seeing has had an unusual split: warnings about the collapse of the bond market, as well as imminent recession. The preliminary report for U.S. Q1 real GDP was released last week, which registered an annualised decline of -1.4%. Although there are som...

Long-term success is rarely achieved without some suffering. The S&P 500 is already off -14% from its highest levels experienced at the beginning of the year. Panic is rarely a profitable strategy, so now is probably not the best time to knee-jerk react to the price declines. ...