DPU News and Press, DB Commodity Long ETN From 07/02/21

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...

MSCI US REIT Index rallied 2.7% in June, which marks an impressive run of eight consecutive monthly increases. The Russell 3000 Index jumped 2.5% in June, the fifth straight monthly advance. Comparing GMI to US stocks and bonds shows that global asset allocation remains competitiv...

The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...

Inflation will help commodity and real estate-related industries, hurt industries that carry high inventories and throw most other sectors into uncertainty. Commodity prices rise disproportionately with overall inflation. Higher average inflation usually means a less stable real e...

FOMC change of tone took some wind out of commodity's sail but not for long. Precious metals have lost appeal until safe haven demand picks up. Oil prices have a floor and should be range-bound. Base metals and grains will ride a secular bull market higher after a pause. ...

Cyclical sectors and value stocks began to lead equity market performance for the first time in years, commodity prices rocketed, and the 10-year Treasury yield doubled. Yield curves flattened and breakeven inflation rates fell, cyclical and value stocks lost ground against defensive ...

PIMCO’s baseline outlook for the cyclical horizon has the global economy continuing its uneven recovery before shifting to a more moderate pace of above-trend growth in 2022. With the pandemic receding across much of the world, policy support has also likely peaked and will tur...

Last week, the market broke down as our “sell signals” triggered. Shorting the volatility index (VIX) remains an extraordinarily bullish and profitable trade due to the inherent leverage in options. In the long term, the results of avoiding periods of severe capital ...

One risk on investors’ minds hasn’t been much of a factor in nearly a decade: inflation. By the end of 2020, despite real assets regaining some ground, the return deficit was –6.8%. Actually, when evaluated on multiple dimensions—inflation sensitivity, ...

The global economy has reached an important milestone in the second quarter of 2021, surpassing the pre-pandemic real GDP peak attained in the fourth quarter of 2019. After a 3.5% contraction in 2020, global real GDP is projected to increase 6.0% in 2021, its strongest advance since 1...