DTUL News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L469 From 03/31/19

The Fed sets interests rates. But how does the Fed set interest rates? The Fed is undergoing a big review of this question. We had a little workshop at Hoover in preparation for the larger May 3 Strategies for Monetary Policy conference , which provokes the following thoughts. Issue ...

When you're young and you fall off a horse, you may break something. When you're my age, you splatter. - Roy Rogers A lot of people in the bond markets have recently fallen off their horse. They called and called for higher yields based upon the Fed's statements in the Fall and Winter,...

MMTers tend to back the permanent zero interest rate idea. E.g. Warren Mosler (and Matthew Forstater) wrote a paper entitled "The Natural Rate of Interest is Zero." Milton Friedman also said he couldn't see the point of interest-yielding government debt (see his para starting "Under the pr...

By Ryan McMaken Money supply growth slowed in February, falling to the lowest rate recorded since February of last year. Overall, money-supply growth remains well below the growth rates experienced from 2009 to 2016, and has fluctuated little since March of last year. In February, year-o...

Last year, I wrote an article entitled "The Upcoming Bond Bull Market," which, at the time, was pushing against the mainstream consensus which was predicting rates could only go higher. I am updating that article with the latest data points as the overall thesis of "why" we have remained bu...

It is a convoluted world. Negative yielding bonds have climbed since September and now compose about 19% of the world's bond markets. Whoever, in their right minds, thought that a lender would pay the borrower? We now have over $10.07 trillion, up from $5.7 trillion in early 2018, of negativel...

On February 7, the 3-month LIBOR rate (US$) fell sharply. Traders were, as various media outlets reported, stunned. All sorts of excuses were issued, the goal of them cumulatively to deny your lying eyes. Falling LIBOR couldn't have been the market, especially eurodollar futures, anticipating ...

On Friday, markets were spooked when the yield on the US 3-month treasury bill rose to 2.44% while the 10-year treasury yield moved below it to 2.38%. Since investors normally require higher yields for loaning money over longer terms than shorter, this 'inverted' yield spread signals a belief ...

Getting long U.S. Treasury bonds has been a lucrative, contrarian move for Hedgeye subscribers for many months now. And while Hedgeye has been bullish on bonds since the end of September, the latest CFTC non-commercial futures and options contract data shows that Wall Street is—beli...

By Kevin Flanagan Last week, the big news was that the U.S. Treasury (UST) 3-month/10-year yield curve became inverted for the first time since 2007. It is certainly a noteworthy development in bond-land. As of this writing, the closely watched UST 2-year/10-year spread is still on the pos...