DTUS News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A 06740L519 From 03/26/19

This is really getting out of hand. For the fourth day in a row, unofficially, Effective Federal Funds, or EFF, remains above IOER. At the same, now the 10-year UST yields less. What was last week pretty concerning stuff before the Fed's capitulation is this week whatever category lies below. ...

By Daniel Himelberger, Portfolio Manager & Fixed Income Analyst Short to intermediate Treasury yields declined throughout the first quarter as of March 19th, as the 30-year Treasury was flat at roughly 3.00%. The Treasury yield curve remains slightly inverted out to 5 years. This has b...

It's happened… The 10yr/3m yield curve has inverted. The party is over folks. Sell your stocks, horde your cash, pack your bags and go home. Recession is imminent… The mainstream financial news and twitter "market experts" have nailed it. The top is in. It's nice knowing th...

Today's report on German manufacturing shows that Germany's mighty industrial sector is slumping (chart 1). This is significant not only for European growth expectations (ratcheted lower) but also for German and US inflation expectations. One day is hardly a trend, but today's price action...

Is it different this time? Popular measures of the yield curve, including the 10-year vs. 3-month Treasury spread, have inverted which has caused interest rates to move to the front page. Interest rates are always on my front page in terms of analyzing markets and we accurately predicted t...

With the Fed pivot last week and the inversion of the yield curve, sentiment has swiftly surrendered to the bearish side. Indeed, it's entirely possible that the Fed even takes preemptive action and eases further, e.g. with rate cuts. But here's at least a hypothetical question, what if infl...

The news coming out of the bond market at the end of the week was the inversion of the yield curve. The concern: every time the yield curve has been inverted in modern times, the US economy has always gone into a recession. Let me just issue a word of caution here. We are in a new era. T...

The FOMC voted this week not to raise its target interest rate and signaled no additional hikes are planned for this year conditional on the outlook. This is a big change from last fall when the FOMC was talking up multiple rate hikes and dismissing concerns about the flattening yield curve...

By Jenna Barnard, CFA Jenna Barnard, Co-Head of Strategic Fixed Income, shares her latest views on the bond market, explaining what she sees as possibly the early innings for an intermediate, cyclical, sovereign bond bull market. Transcript Jenna Barnard : It is Thursday, the 14th of ...

By Ryan McMaken The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday voted unanimously to keep the Federal Funds rate unchanged. Overall, the FOMC signaled it has made a dovish turn away from the promised normalization of monetary policy, which the Fed has promised will be im...