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In order for rate cuts to be insurance for a boom to continue, there first has to be a boom able to be continued. The FOMC meeting yesterday didn't directly kill the idea, but that's actually what's coming up in the latest projections. This is why there's been so much attention focused on in...

A version of this piece originally appeared in the Financial Times on 19th June, 2019. Central banks around the world are pivoting toward easier monetary policy. In some countries, this means rates are falling below previous record lows, and in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has pause...

Wednesday's FOMC statement and Fed Chair Powell's press conference may have satisfied those looking for US rate cuts later in 2019. However, we see in both the statement and the press conference an uncharacteristic reluctance to react pre-emptively. This is despite a lowering of the central pr...

By James Knightley The Fed has opened the door to rate cuts, but it may not be as aggressive as the market expects. For now, we're sticking to our recently revised forecast for rate cuts in September and December, but if the data deteriorates and President Trump and President Xi's mee...

By Collin Martin The Federal Open Market Committee ((FOMC)) - the Federal Reserve's policymaking arm - held its target range steady on Wednesday, maintaining the 2.25% to 2.5% target range for the Federal Funds rate. This was widely expected by the markets. The next move by the Fed is li...

QE trade "animal spirits" were back with a vengeance on Thursday, following yet another dovish surprise from the Fed. Let me just say, right off the bat, that there is no "Cliffs Notes" version of this. I'm going to hit the high points for readers on this platform, but it isn't possible to ...

Earlier this year, I penned a research note detailing a data-driven approach to measuring recession risk. You can read that note from February by clicking here . In that note, which you should read prior to this note if you have not done so, I outline the official definition of a recessi...

By OpenMarkets The Fed is officially on a path toward easing. The question is how much will it affect equity markets. Jack Bouroudjian discusses what we may see in the weeks ahead. Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...

Today's Federal Open Market Committee ((FOMC)) meeting was decisively and deliberately dovish. This was about as far as the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) could have gone without actually cutting interest rates at the meeting's conclusion. In the statement accompanying the meeting, the com...

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha Read more ...