EDV News and Press, Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury From 04/26/24

2024-04-26 02:30:00 ET Summary Money Supply is a very important indicator that helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are, regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Money Supply should dip some heading into the summer before rebounding later in th...

2024-04-25 07:57:06 ET Summary Zero coupon treasury bonds are considered to be a better way to benefit from rate cuts in the US compared to ordinary treasury bonds. While the bond market is getting repriced for a "higher for longer" scenario, I expect interest rate cuts sooner rat...

2024-04-24 12:30:00 ET Summary Last week brought hawkish remarks from a cast of Federal Open Market Committee members. I still believe a US rate cut in June and a total of three cuts for the year are very real possibilities, but markets need to see more data. Prices for West T...

2024-04-23 13:50:00 ET Summary The US economy powered ahead in the first quarter, as strong hiring activity and gradually waning inflationary pressures boosted consumer spending, keeping growth on solid footing. In our view, much of that strength will last, supported by changing d...

2024-04-23 09:00:00 ET Summary In its fight against inflation, the last thing that the Federal Reserve needs is an oil price shock that would result from the disruption of oil flowing through the Straits of Hormuz. High interest rates for longer are bound to deepen the commercial ...

2024-04-22 13:29:01 ET Summary The Treasury curve was up 9 basis points at 2 years and was up 12 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative 35 basis points this week, compared to negative 38 ba...

2024-04-20 05:50:00 ET Summary Despite extraordinary monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, inflation remains elevated above its 2% target. The Consumer Price Index rose at an annualized rate of 4.5% over the last three months. Interest rates suggest money is tight. The m...

2024-04-20 05:30:00 ET Summary For investors whose portfolios are calculated in US dollars, the Japanese yen is down around 10% versus the greenback. The strong dollar is a direct outcome of the market’s long-overdue realization that US interest rates are likely to stay hig...

2024-04-19 03:05:00 ET Summary The only aspect of consistency in the market’s outlook for rate cuts lately has been pushing the expected date forward. Recent history falls in line with this trend and September is now seen as the earliest date for policy easing. Fed fund...

2024-04-19 02:15:00 ET Summary The March CPI release was, in retrospect, the one that apparently convinced the Fed and the market that "disinflation has stalled." "Higher for longer" is now the interest rate mantra that is driving the market; it's made people nervous, so an equity...