EEA News and Press, The European Equity Fund Inc. From 10/04/21

One of the big themes that we've seen the last few weeks is interest rates rising and value outperforming growth. Strategas' Todd Sohn examines the reemergence of cyclicality following an economic "growth scare." Todd breaks this down before taking us through some timely sector an...

Risks to US economic recovery are growing as inflation pressures intensify. The German election was won narrowly by the SPD, as expected, but coalition talks will take some time. Key for the UK at the moment is interest rate expectations with the market’s pricing in three b...

Rates have adjusted higher over the course of the week, with the unabated rise in energy prices adding to the backdrop of central banks having turned more hawkish. Next week's US jobs data could cement a Fed taper announcement in November and add to the markets' feeling of a mistake i...

The rates market sell-off has extended, albeit losing some steam. While the GBP inflation narrative grabbed the headlines, USD rates dynamics indicate it is more a repricing of monetary policy. Only the ECB is distancing itself from the hawkish turn, at least with some success as ...

The next few months are going to be extremely interesting in the markets, with central banks becoming less comfortable with the level of stimulus they’re providing, economic recoveries slowing and market risks mounting. Evergrande has come to the forefront of investors minds in...

Another day of heavy central bank action should keep markets busy. In the case of the BoE, we see no point in further hawkish warnings. The reaction should be a knee-jerk, and short-lived curve steepening. For further details see: Rates Spark: Central Bank Palooza

Beginning with what is perhaps the best indicator of growth potential in the real economy, as opposed to just the financial economy, the G3 credit impulse is now firmly in negative territory after peaking in the latter stages of 2020. Turning to manufacturing, building permits for new...

The Evergrande saga continues to dictate daily ups and downs in the rates market. Government bonds benefit from safe haven demand despite stagflation fears and the risk of central bank response, but these haven’t disappeared. USD and GBP curve flattening seem like the most ...

In terms of central bank meetings, the week ahead is one of the busiest. In our understanding, the market has been anticipating this meeting since the spring to provide further guidance that the Fed will reduce the pace of bond purchases. The Dollar Index bottomed, and the Bannock...

Developed market yield curves are displaying late-cycle dynamics. This is nowhere as obvious as on the GBP curve as hikes are being brought forward, and as the curve flattens. This makes it all the more difficult for long-end rates to rise. For further details see: Rates...