EFA News and Press, iShares MSCI EAFE From 05/17/21

A look at how the long-term debt cycle is contributing to today's pro-inflationary environment. How the 1940s differed from the 1970s in terms of inflation, and why this is more like the 1940s. How I'm positioning in this environment. For further details see: Fiscal-Driv...

Although some short-term supply bottlenecks and financial speculation might drive commodity prices and inflation expectations further from here, a few big-picture facts are worth noting. The consensus expects consumer spending to keep accelerating because some households have higher s...

The Mother of All Recoveries (MOFAR) is not a U.S. story; it’s a developed-market story. Inflation is not likely to start galloping into the double digits or even high single digits. I expect it to be closer to 3%. If a company can’t grow its earnings in this environ...

The rotation from growth to value is accelerating. The combination of higher inflation, lower US dollar, and higher yields could be lethal for momentum stocks. The Fed is way behind the curve, but we believe that Jay Powell will be forced to acknowledge reality soon. Meanwhile...

This article looks at 150 years of inflation data from multiple countries, to find correlations and causes. An assessment of whether CPI is accurate, and where it may be off. How different asset classes perform in inflationary/deflationary environments. For further details s...

Inflation expectations are probably priced-in. Thus, the bond market did not react to Yellen's inflation warning. Every dip in the stock market is still a buying opportunity. For further details see: S&P 500: The Lesson From The Yellen Dip

Are you familiar with the "Aggression Scale?" Instead of the common classifications, it's measuring sectors based on their volatility, cyclicality, and growth. Three sectors currently are making it to the top of the "Aggression Scale." Technology is only one of those. Can we be ov...

Today's post rolls out the inaugural Risk Review column for the major asset classes, a monthly update that's the companion piece to the monthly performance report and risk-premia estimates. Risk analysis is a broad and deep subject and so this monthly update will be no one's idea of a...

After a decent start, emerging markets have lagged behind developed markets. Emerging markets don't necessarily correspond to neat value vs. growth or cyclical vs. defensive narratives. The best environment for emerging market economies is one of synchronized global growth. ...

We've written extensively about our growing optimism on international equities recently, and our enthusiasm hasn't faded. We're encouraged by economic data that continues to rebound, while the approval, acquisition and distribution of vaccines seem to be improving at the same time. ...