FATT News and Press, Fat Tail Risk ETF From 06/14/21

BlackRock’s senior executives and portfolio managers discussed what lies beyond the restart - and investment implications - at our semi-annual forum. U.S. consumer price index (CPI) jumped in May and key drivers appear related to activity restart. Stocks rallied to record highs...

With the consensus view being that inflation for June would print at about a 4.7% increase year on year, inflation barreled in at 5%. The Fed prefers a different gauge for determining its economic policy - their “core” inflation rate - and that number came in at 3.8%, wh...

The effect of this year’s stimulus has petered out after a few months. The primary driver of this inflationary spike is supply bottlenecks rather than increased demand. The inflationary spike this year has actually caused the average real hourly wages for nonsupervisory workers...

Strategas Chief Economist Don Rissmiller discusses the macro environment, hitting on recent inflation data, the weaker-than-expected jobs recovery, and where monetary policy goes from here. So far, the Fed has consistently stated they’re likely to view this data as transitory a...

Investors are exceedingly exuberant about markets once again, with numerous analysts suggesting nothing but “blue skies” ahead. We set our expectations for a 5-10% correction between mid-June and July. With that window approaching and signals very close to triggering &#x...

Much of last week’s economic focus was on the inflation report. Inflation was indeed pretty hot year over year, but that wasn’t unexpected. With CPI printing at 5% year over year, bond yields fell. But these are small moves, and the trend for rates is still up for now. ...

The latest inflation numbers are out, up 0.64% from April to May (7.7% annualized), on top of 0.77% (9.2% annualized) from March to April. Not all inflation is the same, and what you experience depends on what you buy and where you buy it. The current surge of inflation is concent...

May CPI inflation surprised on the upside, with month-on-month 0.6% vs. 0.4% Bloomberg consensus. May’s 0.6% month-on-month is below April’s 0.8%, highlighting the decline in high-frequency inflation. If one calculates the longer-horizon inflation rates, one can see ...

US rates have snapped lower. It had been brewing. Over a half a trillion was returned to the Fed at 0% yesterday, as excess liquidity seeks a home for the night. The bond market sees this as a run on rates, and not a driver of a macro boom. Meanwhile, the ECB has removed a key ris...

Consumer price inflation jumped 0.6%MoM in May, after recording 0.8% increases in April and 0.6% in March. Core inflation jumped even more, gaining 0.7%MoM after rising 0.9% in April. The stimulus-fueled economy is booming. However, the pandemic has led to scarring in the economy that...