FENY News and Press, Fidelity MSCI Energy Index From 03/03/23

Summary US Energy stocks appear cheap on a trailing basis but rising capex spending and falling oil prices suggest earnings and free cash flows will fall sharply over the coming months. The Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF yields just 3.4%, while the forward yield is 3.2%, having fallen f...

Summary The FENY ETF provides broad exposure to energy companies. It has performed well vs. peer energy ETFs during the past year and pays a 3.5% trailing distribution. Recent economic data out of China supports my thesis that a Chinese re-opening could spur significant energy deman...

Summary With the CPI losing the relief from cooling energy prices, this month showed a solid uptick in prices, coming in at 0.54% (~6.6% annualized). One concerning thing about the most recent print is that many categories sit above the current 12-month trend. The Fed has been reloa...

Summary A recession in the United States and in Europe will be less severe than had been expected. Continued economic and military support from the West is the most critical element I think for Ukraine going forward. There's been some improvement in the tone of the relationship betw...

Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...

Summary As we head into the end of January, technical conditions in major stock indexes are showing a lot of strength. We think a bear market that could easily trim 50% from indexes is in the cards, but timing is everything. We find price action-driven measures more reliable than su...

Summary After a record-setting 2022, energy sector earnings are likely to generally decline in 2023, though forecasts point to another strong year by historical standards. Even with a year-over-year earnings decline, energy companies can continue to execute on free cash flow generation ...

Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...

Summary On a coincident basis, driven by a historically tight labour market and robust industrial production growth, the US economy remains deceptively strong despite negative real incomes and tight financial conditions. However, the leading indicators of the business cycle continue to ...

Summary A comparison of funds results in inconsistent outcomes. Investment sectors impacted fund comparisons. Do not lose sight of a fund manager's declared mission. From science and mathematics, I learned that a hypothesis is often posed as a question. What follows is res...