FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 09/08/22

Summary Despite a rough first half of 2022, bonds still have an important role to play in your portfolio, offering potential income, diversification, and capital preservation. After adjusting to the Fed’s rate hikes, short-term corporate bonds may now offer potentially high...

Summary The economic data released last week continued to show a modest improvement in the economy since July. The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising since the summer of 2020 although there was a pullback in rates that lasted from April to August of last year. Best-perform...

Summary The recent jitters in markets have been due to economic data being too strong. Fixed income markets are likely to settle down when central banks signal that financial conditions are sufficiently tight. The current uncertainty may turn out to be worse than the slowdown ...

Summary What's next for the bond market after Fed Powell's speech? Is the Fed pivot away for higher rates off the table? Outlook on inflation in Canada and the U.S. Stock markets tumbled following Fed Chainman Powell’s hawkish stance on rate rises. Gre...

Summary It is hard to determine sometimes what causes markets to move as they do. Take last Friday’s stock market selloff. The widely cited “reason” for the selloff was Jerome Powell’s speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Of the major ...

Summary Equities rebounded in recent weeks as investors considered the prospects of a possible pivot by major central banks, especially after China’s central bank unexpectedly cut interest rates. Similar to Europe, core inflation and services inflation are expected to rise ...

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to 0.27 in July, with all four categories of indicators rising. The 3-month average was unchanged at -0.09. That indicates growth is slightly below trend and is far from the recession threshold of -0.7. The data in August so far has bee...

The yield curve is inverted from the 6-month T-bill to the 10-year Treasury note, which would suggest that the bond market’s message is “recession ahead, batten down the hatches”. Relatively tight risk spreads suggest that nobody is thinking too seriously about th...

There is no doubt Bullard has been one of the more hawkish voting members this year, emphasizing the need to front-load rate hikes and move aggressively in the process. The main difference is that rate hikes would not be aggressive to the point that they would have to be reversed in r...

Latest CPI might help sentiment, but inflation is still a problem. Why shelter inflation is creating a more complicated fight for the Fed. Softer CPI could mean the Fed avoids another jumbo rate hike, but rates are still going up. U.S. inflation data for July...