FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 03/28/23

2023-03-28 00:45:00 ET Summary Over the past year, the Federal Reserve and the various European central banks have raised rates more than at any time since 1981. Short-term interest rates rose above long-term rates, creating the steepest yield curve inversion in decades. As su...

2023-03-22 03:20:00 ET Summary An active Fed means that investors may finally get some yield out of front-end fixed income. Inverted curves also mean attractive income with limited duration risk, in our view. We think that elevated inflation will likely keep the Fed hiking rates. ...

2023-03-21 11:38:00 ET Summary Plunging Treasury yields are calming financial markets, but they also indicate that the Fed doesn’t need to raise rates higher to match market rates. The banking contagion risk has spread to Europe, where all eyes are now on Credit Suisse afte...

2023-03-21 02:30:00 ET Summary Inflation flares up and interest rates rise, reducing the value of the municipal bonds and funding dries up. Despite all the turmoil in the banking sector, US stocks managed to post a gain last week but it was entirely due to the rise in technology a...

2023-03-20 14:39:00 ET Summary Banking stresses may have tightened conditions enough for policymakers to pause their hiking cycles indefinitely. Inflation started to decline even as economic data seemed to get stronger and stronger. These are signs that the economy and financi...

2023-03-16 23:56:00 ET Summary This week’s chart of the week shows how the standard credit cycle operates and the way the borrowing booms and busts across time. Credit risk isn’t just creeping up on us. It punched everyone in the face this week. And it is likely to g...

2023-03-14 06:20:00 ET Summary Recession indicators are concerning. Bank runs are particularly concerning. Certain companies may outperform in a recession. As negative economic and financial news piles up, there are increasing concerns about a potential upcoming rece...

2023-03-14 04:53:00 ET Summary Last Friday, the Labor Department revised both their December and January payroll reports by a total of 34,000 jobs, from 260,000 down to 239,000 in December, and from 517,000 down to 504,000 in January. So far, the Fed has been remarkably quiet abou...

2023-03-13 21:01:00 ET Summary You step from the Fed and then you look around the world, there is this uncertainty associated with where we are, with this inflationary environment that every country is dealing with. Certainly from a longer perspective, given sort of the post-GFC w...

2023-03-13 15:35:00 ET Summary One of the themes I’ve been discussing lately is how inflation risk has been evolving into credit risk. The banking bust we’re seeing now was sown during COVID. The COVID boom was the inevitable blow off top of the prior 10-year bull ma...