FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 09/30/23

2023-09-30 04:15:00 ET Summary Rising rates have led to negative year-to-date returns for the US Aggregate benchmark index, but anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could support bond investors. The historically inverted yield curve may result in shorter maturities outperforming longe...

2023-09-29 07:30:00 ET Summary The combination of easing inflation and a cooling labor market has fueled “soft landing” hopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. Economic growth, the labor market, and consumer spending proved unexpectedly resilient despit...

2023-09-28 13:30:00 ET Summary The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices. The interpretation requires looking at the pricing and the impact of individual issues in the S&P 500. Energy, commodity and industrial issues have been risi...

2023-09-25 20:21:00 ET Summary Bond yields, which have been stagnant since peaking last October, finally broke above the trading range they’ve been in for all that time. Interest rates will peak at some point. When they do, it may or may not coincide with the onset of reces...

2023-09-14 05:20:00 ET Summary A hike from the ECB today may have limited impact, as a total of 25bp of tightening is already fully priced before year-end. Raising rates today would probably be largely interpreted as pulling forward that final hike, but the appetite to price in mo...

2023-09-13 13:00:00 ET Summary Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. For now, the probability that a recession has started, or is about to start, remains low, based on another indicator featured in The US Business Cycle Risk...

2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...

2023-09-04 02:21:51 ET More on Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond ETF Sovereign borrowing expected to hit $12.6T in 2021, S&P says Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond ETF Dividend scorecard for Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasur...

2023-09-02 01:55:00 ET Summary Elevated stock market valuations, coupled with higher bond yields, have driven the equity risk premium to near 20-year lows. The lofty valuations, while not contagious to the entire equity market, don’t seemingly reflect heightened recession r...

2023-08-28 15:55:00 ET Summary The economic debate shifted gears with diminishing concerns about a recession, leading U.S. long-term Treasury yields to rise sharply. The net result was a less inverted U.S. yield curve, not because short-term interest rates fell, but because long-t...