FLGV News and Press, Franklin Liberty U.S. Treasury Bond From 06/30/21

The reopening should continue across the major developed economies through the second half of 2021. The focus for markets has shifted to the strength of the growth rebound, the implications for inflation and the timing of central bank moves to taper asset purchases and eventually rais...

Inflation figures, which had been more harmonized than not for decades, all of a sudden they are acting a bit too idiosyncratic for once. That’s actually a red flag warning against inflation. The Treasury market is the farthest out of whack to inflation estimates. US inflation ...

Amid the economic recovery and increased demand for commodities, raw materials, and services, inflation is rising worldwide to the point that some analysts believe it could trigger another global economic crisis. However, inflation is not about high demand for products and less suppli...

The “mega-drought” out West is expected to cause electricity prices to rise due to hydroelectric power plant output falling, being rationed, or possibly shut down. Higher food and electric prices may be “transitory,” as the Fed has asserted, but this ȁ...

USTs maintain the global lead for outright yields. EUR curve dynamics have decoupled amid EU supply and a steady drumbeat of dovish comments from the ECB to ensure a calm summer. Country CPI data bears upside risks today, but nothing that the ECB wouldn't look through. For f...

The 30-year Treasury experienced the biggest decline as of 6/25/21, dropping 29.6 bps to 2.117% for the quarter. The largest increase in yield was in the 3-year Treasury as of 6/25/21, which rose 11.8 bps to 0.467% as the Fed signaled a possible start to raising interest rates over th...

The potential for higher U.S. taxes, coupled with regulatory risks and shifting growth momentum, tempers our near-term enthusiasm for U.S. equities. Euro area business activity surged in June as the region catches up on the restart that has been led by the U.S. and UK. Investors w...

On a price-only basis, the S&P 500 Index is up over 91% since the March 23, 2020 low. Nearly halfway through 2021 and the S&P 500 Index is up a strong 14%. Additionally, when evaluating investor sentiment and equity fund flows, it does not appear investors are all-in on stocks...

The American economy is roaring ahead. There are 3 rivers of money pouring into it. It is worth noting now just where all of this new stimulus money will be spent. My advice is just to hop on and enjoy the ride. Sure, it will end someday, but not today and not for the foreseeable futu...

The BoE has dealt a temporary setback to hawkish bets, but only inflation will show when it eventually pulls the trigger. In any case, we expect this cycle to be shallow. Supply pressure will be felt by EUR rates in the coming days, but it should prove temporary. Next week's US jo...