FTSD News and Press, Franklin Liberty Short Duration U.S. Government From 01/11/24

2024-01-11 11:20:00 ET Summary In the wake of the Federal Reserve's dovish shift in December, financial markets had moved to price an interest rate cut as soon as March. However, the tight jobs market and today's firmer-than-expected inflation numbers suggest this is unlikely, bar...

2024-01-10 10:32:00 ET Summary There’s a lot riding on tomorrow’s US consumer inflation report for December for markets, which are pricing in relatively upbeat news. Economists expect a bit of a mixed bag. For the year-over-year headline data, consumer inflation is p...

2024-01-08 13:15:00 ET Summary Risk assets surged to end 2023 as the Federal Reserve blessed market hopes for rate cuts. That momentum could persist for some time as inflation cools. Stocks slid and bond yields rose last week. Data pointing to sticky U.S. wages showed why we think...

2024-01-04 21:40:00 ET Summary In 2023, the global economy defied widespread expectations of a recession and falling interest rates. The United States, Japan, and, to a lesser extent, Europe delivered significantly better growth than was expected at the turn of the year. The e...

2024-01-02 03:50:00 ET Summary It’s impossible to put together a sound financial plan without predicting what future inflation might look like. Factor tilting might be a decent option in this environment. I think we need to do a better job of matching time horizons with...

2024-01-01 23:46:00 ET Summary Many influential figures claim that supply-side improvements explain easing price pressures. Even if we eventually experience sustained deflation, the arithmetic of the supply-side account just doesn’t add up. Since disinflation isn’...

2023-12-31 08:25:00 ET Summary The latest calculation of the PCE Index shows a downward trend in inflation, with the year-over-year growth rate at 2.6%. The Fed is expected to slash interest rates next year, leading to celebrations in the stock and bond markets. The markets ha...

2023-12-31 08:00:00 ET Summary This 2023 Year in Review is focused on the riveting “Year of Treasury Debt, Money Market Fund Intermediation, Repos and the ‘Basis Trade’." But by their nature, markets are prone to speculative excess and boom and bust dynamics. ...

2023-12-28 04:30:00 ET Summary As all students of economics should have learned, prices are set at the margin by the intersection of supply and demand. The surge in the demand for currency has almost completely reversed from its early-covid levels. Corporations are not struggl...

2023-12-27 03:59:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 has made a new all-time-high on a total return basis, but it needs to break out decisively. Corporate defaults seem very well-contained, but corporate credit spreads are your “early warning” indicator for a deeper recess...