FTSD News and Press, Franklin Liberty Short Duration U.S. Government From 01/25/24

2024-01-25 11:07:00 ET Summary Fourth quarter 2023 GDP growth beat all expectations thanks to strong consumer and government spending plus a positive contribution from net trade. First quarter GDP growth is expected to be weaker based on business surveys, but the Fed is close to d...

2024-01-25 02:18:00 ET Summary There will be a lot of firsts for the economic history books if this business cycle can survive a labor market slowdown, 525 basis points (bps) of rate hikes and an extremely inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve. But the dovish shift from the U.S. Federal ...

2024-01-25 00:10:00 ET Summary Strong growth doesn't cause inflation, and reducing inflation doesn't require a recession. Inflation is the result of an imbalance in the supply and the demand for money. Bringing down inflation requires that the Fed address this imbalance, typically...

2024-01-24 11:46:47 ET Summary Federal Reserve continues quantitative tightening despite market conditions. Securities holdings reduced by $1,332.4 trillion since March 2022. Current securities holdings amount to $7,158.1 billion as of January 17, 2024. Regardless of...

2024-01-20 01:10:00 ET Summary So close, and then so far. That was the story of the Treasury yield curve last October, when the 10-year yield briefly touched a decades-long high of five percent. As has become the norm, the bond market took whatever the Fed said and doubled down. ...

2024-01-19 04:55:00 ET Summary Broad disinflation across the whole CPI basket we have seen over the past year is likely over. The majority of the decline in inflation since its mid-2022 peak has been from a combination of energy disinflation, food disinflation, and goods disinflat...

2024-01-18 11:43:00 ET Summary Lagging indicators suggest that all is well in the economy, however, more forward-looking factors present reasons for concern. It takes an active approach to stock selection to find investments that are well positioned for the road ahead. Whether...

2024-01-18 07:13:00 ET Summary The core PCE in the past six months is running at a slower 1.9% annual pace, so the Fed’s 2% inflation target is within sight. Deflation is unquestionably enveloping the Chinese economy, and this deflation is being exported around the world, i...

2024-01-17 12:55:00 ET Summary Groundbreaking technological advancements, mega-pop stars being blamed for summertime inflation, and a December Fed pivot were just a few of the plot twists for 2023. US GDP growth sequentially accelerated all year and continually outpaced expectatio...

2024-01-17 01:55:00 ET Summary The Monetary Base is up over 7% since March. M2 is also a bit higher. The primary driver of my bull thesis is the shift in the Fed’s monetary policy. It was only a matter of time before this occurred. The M2 measure of the money supply has...