GBGR News and Press, Global Beta Momentum-Growth From 08/11/22

The CPI number backed off a tad in July to 8.5%, from 9.1% in June, as food prices continued to spike but gasoline and natural gas prices fell sharply and prices of durable goods backed off their crazy spike. Services inflation rose to 6.25%, the highest since 1982. The CPI for servic...

The global business climate is deteriorating in mid-2022, putting forecasters on recession watch. Real global GDP is likely to have declined in the second quarter of 2022, pulled down by contractions in emerging Europe, mainland China, and the United States. Adverse financial cond...

As expected, U.S. inflation - both headline and core - moderated in July, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The July report showed U.S. core CPI increased 0.3% month-over-month (m/m) - softer than consensus expectations of 0.5% m/m. Short-term inflation expe...

While equity investors may be correct in their assessment of the cyclical trend in inflation, they may not want to celebrate it in such ebullient fashion. Any moderation in inflationary pressures is unlikely to be driven by the sort of benign economic factors that would support equity...

AIER’s Everyday Price sank 0.6% in July after a 2.4% jump in June. The July EPI broke a string of 19 consecutive increases dating back to December 2020. Motor fuel prices, which are often a significant driver of the monthly changes in the Everyday Price index because of the lar...

Why U.S. GDP data may not be painting an accurate picture of the economy. There is a growing divide between Gross Domestic Product and Gross Domestic Income. Is worrying about a recession making a slowdown more likely? There has been extensive speculation about t...

For the second month in a row, the Employment Situation Report revealed not only resiliency, but a surprisingly solid showing as well. The level of nonfarm payrolls has now finally moved back to (actually slightly above) its pre-pandemic, February 2020, level. In recent Fed commen...

Almost every month this year, the “discounts” on financial assets from their year-end 2021 prices have gotten larger, leaving the S&P 500 with its worst first half-of-the-year return since 1962 (narrowly avoiding its worst first half since the Great Depression). Ther...

Huge insider selling combined with massive net fund inflows are two clear signals that U.S. equities are headed much lower, regardless of what they do in the short run. Whenever VIX goes below 20 it is safe to add to your short positions. The lower it goes below 20, the more aggressiv...

The seasonally adjusted teen employment data isn't squaring up with the reported increase in payroll employment. Younger teens (age 16-17) are continuing to see their numbers among the employed fall from their recent peak in April 2022, while older teens (age 18-19) saw their numbers ...