GBGR News and Press, Global Beta Momentum-Growth From 08/15/22

A lower-than-expected rate of inflation ignites animal spirits. The S&P 500 has retraced 50% of its bear-market decline. It does not look like the June low will be retested, giving birth to a new bull market. Last week I asserted that this bear-market bounce in the s...

Inflation is becoming ingrained. That’s bad news for us and bad news for the Federal Reserve. The notion that we were going to have a head-scratcher of a rally is playing out just like we said. Now would be the perfect time to come out with a surprise rate hike. The market ...

Market participants that are expecting a Fed "pivot" might be in for an unpleasant surprise. We could easily see some data that shows resurgent inflation. We will hear the Fed minutes, which could have a negative impact to the rally. Another Prediction (Again) I know...

This past week's performance of the S&P 500 Index, up 3.25% and up in four of the last five weeks, has resulted in the index price moving through important technical levels. A near-term consolidation or pullback would not be at all surprising and a healthy market occurrence. I...

While the interest rate-sensitive housing sector may still feel the squeeze, we note that activity is at historically strong levels. Existing home sales have come off a bit more. They are expected to have fallen for the sixth consecutive month in July. While the housing market is ...

July consumer price inflation data were somewhat better than forecast. Instead of increasing 0.2%, headline CPI was flat for the month. The Nasdaq100 advanced 2.8% Wednesday, while the small cap Russell 2000 jumped 3.0%. CPI hit during a key juncture for market Speculative Dynamic...

Coming together for an extraordinary experience. Five key takeaways for the second half of 2022 and beyond. Thoughts on fishing in Maine and current portfolio allocation. Remember this age-old question? If you could pick three people to invite to dinner, who would ...

There really isn’t much on tap until three weeks from today, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its monthly jobs report on September 2. Once the jobs reports hits, it’s going to be several straight weeks of market-moving potential. Will that string of Septe...

CPI numbers show an easing of inflation. Will the Fed keep raising rates? China inflation sits at 2.7%. Does that impact their government policies? A 45% recession likelihood projection. What’s driving that number? Inflation, recession, and China are the key topic...

The recently passed "Tax and Spend" bill has all but ensured elevated inflation levels. Employment is strong? Think again. The "Jobs" picture may not be as strong as reported. We've seen the first snapshot of whether "Peak Inflation" is in the rearview mirror. This earnings se...