GBGR News and Press, Global Beta Momentum-Growth From 08/18/22

Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell 2,000 for the week ending August 13th, coming in at 250,000. The large downward revision for the prior week’s data combined with the latest week indicates that the recent sustained upward trend may be flattening. ...

Institutional investors sold nearly 3.66% of Upstart's total shares outstanding in the last 13F cycle. Although institutions were more or less neutral on the industry, they were particularly bearish on Upstart Holdings. Risk-averse investors may want to avoid the stock for the tim...

Total employment has fully recovered all pandemic losses, but the labor force participation rate has not fully recovered. The employment count comes from every large corporation and a sample of small and medium businesses. The economy that has regained 100.1% of its past decline i...

We expect inflation to moderate to a lower level than where it is now by the end of the year, but still be uncomfortably above the Federal Reserve target. I believe there’s a good case to be made for investors getting into the market now; we just need to debate how and where. ...

Many investors like to use price-to-earnings ratios as a short-hand valuation tool for both individual equities and the broad stock market. Today, the S&P 500 Index sports a price-to-earnings ratio of 21 on trailing 12 months’ operating earnings and 18 on analyst estimates ...

Even if inflation slows, the Fed is unlikely to step off the rate hike gas. Why it's time to beware of the bear market rally. Inflation or slowing growth, which is the bigger risk? Equity markets have been climbing their way back from the lows reached in June. Th...

When the market was overly bearish, we got the current rally to 4300SPX. The market is going to decide how it will take shape for the next 18 months over the coming 2-3 months. We are looking for a specific set-up to point us back up towards the 5500SPX potential again. ...

Stocks continued to grind higher on better-than-expected earnings from retailers Walmart and Home Depot. Lower-end consumers have weathered inflation much better than the bearish consensus expected. Their increase in wealth and income have proved to be sufficient offsets to higher...

Can you simply buy stocks at any price and assume you’ll enjoy long-term returns on the order of 10% annually over the long-term? In a nutshell, long-term investment returns are driven by precisely three factors: long-term growth in fundamentals, the annualized change in valuat...

Economic slowdown but no recession! That message comes from the latest employment report, service sector data, and Federal Reserve. While James Bullard and others currently directing the monetary policy regime suggest they can quell inflation with only an economic slowdown, history su...