GBIL News and Press, Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year From 06/10/24

2024-06-10 16:10:00 ET Summary We stay overweight U.S. stocks ahead of the election, yet are cautious on bonds given the fiscal outlook. We focus on long-term positives in India and Mexico. U.S. stocks notched fresh highs last week and are up nearly 13% this year. The Bank of Cana...

2024-06-10 11:05:00 ET Summary Nonfarm payrolls rose 272,000 in May, rebounding sharply from April’s gain, with a gain that was well above the consensus forecast. The Fed funds futures market this morning is pricing in modest odds that the first rate cut will now arrive at ...

2024-06-10 10:00:00 ET Summary The employment report released last Friday offered contradictory views of the state of the economy. If we look at some of the other labor data available to us, like the JOLTS survey that was also released last week, a picture of a softening labor mar...

2024-06-08 08:30:00 ET Summary If there are no cuts in 2024 (not our view), there is also little prospect for the 10yr yield to fall in a material manner. With real yields so low, inflation easing lower is not enough to justify lower yields. A key difference between the eurozo...

2024-06-08 01:35:00 ET Summary This week, the European Central Bank made the first decisive move in the transition away from monetary tightening. Recent strength in the Eurozone economy, including a higher-than-expected growth rate in hourly wages published today, suggests the lac...

2024-06-08 00:01:00 ET Summary Coming into 2024, many income investors expected falling inflation, slowing economic growth and rate cuts that would boost bond returns- a view that spurred record flows into investment-grade bonds. Despite a slow start to the year for bonds, fixed i...

2024-06-07 23:40:00 ET Summary On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a 25 basis point policy rate cut. By contrast, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is set to keep rates on hold at its meeting this month. Typically, central banks wait for the Fed to reduce rates befo...

2024-06-07 22:55:00 ET Summary Payroll gains were hotter than expected in May, slamming the door shut on any hopes of a July policy rate cut. The latest jobs report showed that 272,000 non-farm payroll jobs were added last month, significantly beating consensus forecasts of 180,00...

2024-06-07 13:45:00 ET Summary The two primary drivers of the market these days are news related to inflation and developments in artificial intelligence. The hope for the Fed to cut rates these past several months has supported equity values and suppressed rates since November. ...

2024-06-07 11:48:00 ET Summary Market interest rate cut expectations have swung wildly this year on fluctuating data and cautious messaging from Federal Reserve officials. Nonetheless, we are seeing broadening evidence that can justify the Fed starting to move policy fro...