GEM News and Press, Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity From 03/01/22

Russia imports large amounts of consumer goods, from cars and consumer electronics to food, and a ruble collapse guarantees a massive spike in consumer price inflation for people who earn their living in rubles. A major disruption of Russia’s exports of crude oil, natural gas, ...

Financial markets are reacting as expected to the heightened uncertainty. In the first days of the invasion, global equities plunged while safe-haven assets rallied. In short, while we have anticipated a broader, cyclical turn against the dollar could be underway, this shift in favor ...

Impact of sanctions against Russia. Boomerang effects of sanctions against Russia. Will the U.S. Fed continue its course to raise rates? For further details see: Will Historic Sanctions Against Russia Impact Global Interest Rates?

In 2022, we have extreme uncertainty around the fundamental economic environment, the policy response, inflation and the response of policymakers. Although we are cautiously optimistic on the inflationary trajectory, when you look at the relatively low rate environment still, you ...

Russia supplies natural gas to Europe, and in the event of US sanctions, this could impact Europe. But there are so many LNG ships in the Atlantic right now that lease rates have collapsed, so Russian threats to cut off Europe’s gas may not be much of a threat. The other big th...

Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...

The emerging markets index has gotten much more tech-heavy, whereas people have always thought of it as cyclical. Technology makes up almost 40%, while energy/materials have shrunk down to 10-12% of the index. China is becoming a larger part of the index at around 35%, and that’...

One of our favorite EMFX price charts features bullish breadth divergence. A major sentiment reset in EM stocks could be fuel for better emerging market equity performance. Higher commodity prices are a tailwind for many EM nations. For further details see: EMFX Pointing...

Medeiros: High inflation, high interest rates, and strong commodity prices have resulted in a shift to value and away from high growth emerging market technology. Unlike the rest of the world, China was in a tightening stance in 2021 in an effort to curb excesses in the property marke...

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 2.5% in US-dollar terms last year. In contrast, the MSCI World Index gained 18.5%, helped by strong US returns. China’s 2021 woes stemmed from a combination of shrinking credit availability, acute debt in the property sector and restrictive ...