GOVT News and Press, iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF From 07/24/19

"When I used to read fairy tales, I fancied that kind of thing never happened, and now here I am in the middle of one!" - Alice in Wonderland Here we are at a 2.04% yield on the 10 year Treasury. It seems low, quite low, until you stare at the other 10 year sovereign debt in the world and ...

Ray Dalio is out with another LinkedIn article on his purview of the current and future investing environment. Dalio touches on the subject of Recency Bias and our human emotional attachment to identifying the future based on the recent past. It is Dalio's thesis that paradigm shifts happen ar...

Yield curves have gone mad. Negative yields are everywhere, from AAA-rated government bonds to corporate junk . Most developed countries have inverted yield curves, and a fair few developing countries do too: (chart from worldgovernmentbonds.com) Negative yields and widespread yield c...

The Fed is in the blackout window ahead of the July FOMC, and mercifully so. As we saw on Thursday , the market is exceptionally sensitive to communications around the likely scope of the forthcoming rate cut (i.e., "Will it be 25 bp or 50?"). John Williams's fumbled effort to extoll the vi...

David Beckworth : Our guest today is Joe Gagnon. Joe is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, where he's been since September, 2009. Previously, Joe worked for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors as a senior economist, and the director of both the Division ...

News of significant recessionary drops in the US became as relentless this past week as the ping, ping, pang of drips from a leaking ceiling hitting pans in the New York Stock Exchange. I've been saying you would hear the sounds of recession everywhere as soon as the second-quarter earnings re...

The Fed's missteps and flip-flops this week tripped up multiple markets. After accidentally announcing its ammo is down to one last bullet against recession, can it be trusted to handle powerful weapons ? Given how the stock market is now trading on nothing but the Fed, it's no surprise...

It was far from the equivalent of Mario Draghi's muscular "whatever it takes" comment in 2012, when the European Central Bank president famously outlined his resolve to save the euro. Yesterday's comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell were considerably more nuanced, in part because ...

Craig Hemke: Silver to Continue Lagging Gold, Will Struggle to Overcome $17 Welcome to this week's Market Wrap Podcast, I'm Mike Gleason. Coming up Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report joins me for a very interesting discussion on how a myriad of problems are really starting to show up ...

The economic calendar is light but includes some home sales data and the (old news) Q2 GDP first estimates. Fed speakers will be on the sidelines for the pre-meeting quiet period. Earnings reports remain the most important fresh data for both traders and investors. And of course, there is alwa...