HUSV News and Press, First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic

2024-07-30 09:40:00 ET Summary The method we've used to track the probability of recession in the U.S. since the U.S. Treasury yield curve first inverted in October 2022 is about to do something it hasn't done before. It's going to record a "triple top". In the past week, the yiel...

2024-07-26 18:35:00 ET Summary Gross domestic product last quarter increased by 2.8%, a hair above average long-term growth. Soft landings are usually considered rare, but some economists see them more frequently. This GDP report will give the Federal Reserve impetus to cut in...

2024-07-26 12:30:00 ET Summary After a year of wondering, data indicates that we can expect to see the first Federal Reserve interest rate cut soon. Artificial intelligence demands a massive amount of power, providing a structural tailwind for energy infrastructure. Significan...

2024-07-26 11:42:00 ET Summary The recessionistas are now forced to look to the third quarter as the earliest start date for an economic downturn in the US. US economic activity rose 2.8% in Q2, well above the consensus forecast and CapitalSpectator.com’s final nowcast for ...

2024-07-24 11:17:00 ET Summary Market concentration rose to multi-decade highs as names like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft continued to surge higher. While we have seen signs of a slowing economy, we have yet to see the signs of outright weakness that would seriously concern us abo...

2024-07-24 10:46:00 ET Summary The 2024 deficit estimate has increased by $400 billion, a 27% rise from their estimate five months ago. For the next decade, the deficit is expected to be double that half-century average. The CBO forecasts no recession for the next decade, yet ...

2024-07-24 09:55:00 ET Summary Among the indicators that have failed to provide timely signals of an approaching recession: the yield curve, the Leading Economic Index, and temporary help employment, which Axios notes “was big tell” in the past but has stumbled recently....

2024-07-18 10:35:00 ET Summary While U.S. large-cap stocks often hold a place at the core of portfolios, many believe this exposure is best achieved via passive index-tracking products. The top stock by market cap in the S&P 500 is larger than the entire small-cap universe, su...

2024-07-17 04:59:00 ET Summary In the past five trading days, as US economic data has continued to weaken and the odds of a Fed easing cycle have risen, capital has been rotating out of tech into small and mid-cap indices. From October 2001 to April 2002, long-always equity funds ...

2024-07-10 03:50:00 ET Summary In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) divided by the US$ gold price) to define booms...