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2024-03-28 09:35:00 ET Summary In the US 2024 presidential elections, President Biden will stand for re-election, while former President Trump will challenge him. Several notable third-party (or “no-label”) candidates will also be on many state ballots and could prove di...
2024-03-27 10:05:29 ET More on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Dividend scorecard for First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Read the full ar...
2024-03-19 17:30:00 ET Summary The odds the U.S. economy will see a recession start sometime in the next twelve months continued to rise during the past six weeks. The prospect for a recession has ticked up since bottoming largely because the inversion of the U.S. Treasury curve d...
2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...
2024-03-13 10:50:00 ET Summary The combination of the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index and the yield curve has been warning of imminent recession since September 2023. The March 2024 new high for the SPX suggests that a recession will not start any sooner than May 2024. By o...
2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary In the last four months, we’ve seen quite a bit of change to the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, with four indicators moving from recessionary red to yellow caution. We still think that the odds of a recession are 40% as the historical p...
2024-03-08 04:50:00 ET Summary From 2009 to 2021, the large caps in the S&P 500 and the small caps in the Russell 2000 moved more or less in lock-step. We are seeing a similar divergence in U.S. labor market data as well with a huge gap developing between two different surveys...
2024-02-20 10:48:00 ET Summary Every state’s economy is, in some degree, unique, although the gravitational pull of the national economy casts a long shadow. The most reliable methodology for estimating recession risk in real-time is building an ensemble model that combines...
2024-02-19 10:35:23 ET Summary The inverted yield curve, historically a reliable indicator of recession, has not yet led to an economic contraction. Economist Campbell Harvey, who developed the yield-curve indicator, acknowledged its potential inaccuracy due to inflation-adjusted ...
2024-02-17 03:50:00 ET Summary The low-volatility premium may be the most compelling anomaly in financial markets - less risky securities outperform their riskier counterparts over the long term. Since the low volatility factor defies a risk-based explanation, academics who believ...
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2024-02-10 04:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2023-12-13 08:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
First Trust Advisors L.P. (“FTA”) announced today that shareholders of First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF (NYSE Arca: HUSV), a series of First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III (the “Trust”), voted to approve a new investment sub-advisory agreem...