ISMD News and Press, Inspire Small/Mid Cap Impact From 11/04/22

Summary Yesterday, the statement released by the FOMC saw the first sign of a less-hawkish tone since this rate hike cycle began in early 2022. Jerome Powell, the FED chair, rolled back the hope of a slowdown. He acknowledged that inflation has not come down, even though supply ch...

Summary The global manufacturing PMI survey's Output Index signalled a third successive monthly drop in worldwide factory production in October. Of the 31 economies for which S&P Global PMI data are available for October, some 21 reported falling production, which was also the...

Summary It's time to talk about jobs, as we just got the October non-farm payroll report after we got job openings earlier this week. The jobs report was strong enough to keep the Fed from becoming dovish. However, cracks are starting to appear as we could be in for weakness down ...

Summary In the week ending October 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 217,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rat was ...

Summary Bullish sentiment gained 4 percentage points for the third weekly increase in a row. Relative to the moves in bearish sentiment, those gains to bulls are outright modest. Given the massive drop in bearishness, the bull-bear spread has experienced a massive reversal. ...

Summary Quantitative Easing is an unconventional monetary policy tool that was used by world central banks during the Global Financial Crisis. While QE was intended to be a temporary measure, it lasted for over 14 years, including during the longest post-war expansion in history. ...

Summary Recession is likely, but the unique characteristics of the previous pandemic-fueled recession wrung out many excesses. Inflation will come down, but not to the low levels experienced over the past few decades. Capital markets have re-priced assets in ways that create a...

Summary This latest bear market bounce was predicated on good seasonality, the hopes for a typical mid-term election boost, and the rumors of a Fed pivot. Wall Street always finds a narrative for rallies in a bear market. But the negative economic and liquidity cycles remain uncha...

Summary Yesterday, Fed chair Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to combating inflation (lagging indicator) at the expense of economic growth, employment and asset prices (leading indicator). In an abrupt reversal, every market sector tumbled into the close, with 474 of S&...

Summary The Institute for Supply Management’s composite services index decreased to 54.4 percent in October, falling 2.3 points from 56.7 percent in the prior month. The index remains above the neutral 50 threshold and suggests the 29th consecutive month of expansion for th...