IUSS News and Press, Invesco Strategic US Small Company ETF From 11/16/22

Summary The S&P 500 has been glued to 4,000 heading into this week's options expiration. That's likely to change next week when the option market resets. There could be a grab for puts ahead of the FOMC minutes. Stocks have come roaring back since that cooler-than-ex...

Summary In the quest for a bigger total addressable market competitive forces often get overlooked. Many of the supposed innovations that rapidly expand TAM are actually deleterious to their industries. If you can sell to everyone your competition is everyone and margins will ...

Summary There are really two things that are driving the view that a durable bottom has not been felt. And the first is that there were unrealistic expectations of a dovish [US Federal Reserve] Fed pivot. It’s going to be very difficult for the Fed to pivot when they have n...

Summary The era of cheap money and low inflation is over. We see an opportune time for active equity managers to shine. We believe the recent correction is more than just another crank of the economic cycle. Not all earnings are created equal. We find the gap between companies...

Summary The resilience of the labor market means the U.S. is probably not in a true recession. Macroeconomic headwinds do, however, make a mild recession within the next 12 months more likely than not. The market volatility has been one of the contributing factors to investor ...

Summary The Fed simply can't react as fast as the market does to changing realities - unfortunately, the Fed is usually "behind the curve." In any event, a 4.5% funds rate by year end is fully priced into the market and thus it should not be very impactful. What will change th...

Summary After a difficult 2022, cautious optimism may be in order. Here are our thoughts on market risks and opportunities heading into 2023. Through 2022, the market repriced for bad news — the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain woes, stickier headline inflation and...

Summary The 3-month/10-year Treasury curve inverted last Thursday on better-than-expected CPI news. If the 10-year note can stay below 4% until the end of 2022, we could see the stock market rally extend into Christmas. Powell can announce a pause in rate hikes at the December...

Summary Layoff announcements are starting to pile up across the US economy. Employment is a lagging indicator. The economic cycle sequence argues that layoff announcements will intensify in the coming months. Layoffs are starting to pile up across the US economy. ...

Summary The stock market does, in fact, show an upward bias in the 12-month periods following mid-term elections. Consider how all the S&P 500’s one-year returns stack up since 1952. Clearly, there’s a strong positive skew. The point here is that it’s ...