IVOL News and Press, Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility and Inflation Hedge From 05/03/21

Last week, we talked about inflation. This week, we are looking at shortages. The market looks tired and many are making summer plans. Sell in May and go away? The rollover of options this week presents a real opportunity for volatility to return. The options market had the market...

U.S. Fed holds rates steady. Colbourne: Higher inflation likely transitory. Colbourne: Pressure on U.S. dollar to continue over the balance of the year. For further details see: Fed Holds On Rates, Acknowledges Improved Outlook And Higher Inflation

Daily new coronavirus case counts in the U.S. have plummeted from their early January highs. Dallas Federal Reserve Bank's Mobility and Engagement Index for the whole U.S. shows March 2021 activity at the highest level since "lockdowns" were first implemented one year earlier. Ret...

Factors driving US inflation higher. Roy: I see inflation rising in the next 12 months. Roy: Exposure to growth stocks is important. For further details see: Navigating Financial Markets As Inflationary Pressures Loom On The Horizon

Think of any increase in inflation as reflation back to normal long-term historical levels, rather than overheating to levels of concern. In an economic recovery, the market typically rewards economically sensitive stocks, with little regard to earnings quality or longevity. We lo...

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has reached $7.82 trillion at last count. Expanding at roughly $120 billion a month, it will be over $8 trillion by the end of this quarter, if the Fed's bond purchases remain on target. My guess is that some type of shakeout is coming for the broad...

Discussing five growth areas, along with ways in which we can make money as passive investors. Inflation is clearly brewing, due mostly to "demand push" inflation for many high-demand goods, such as homes, vehicles, and now workers (via wages). If the long-term capital gains tax r...

We stick to our pro-risk stance and tweak our tactical views as the U.S. leads a powerful global economic restart and our new nominal theme plays out. Stocks were little changed on the week as markets digested strong first-quarter earnings reports and bond yields eased. The Federa...

Much has been made this week about Joe Biden's tax plan that would increase the capital gains rate into the 50% area. We think it is much ado over nothing. It seems as if every investment banking house on the street is bearish; we don't blame them, as valuations have gotten historical...

I joined Daniel Lacalle to discuss why markets are mistaken in pricing in a massive economic expansion. We unpack many of the mainstream myths on narratives driving markets and why outcomes will be no different than in the past. The discussion covers a lot of ground, including cor...