IVW News and Press, iShares S&P 500 Growth From 05/12/24

2024-05-12 07:56:00 ET Summary The scorecard remains tight and, in my view, tilted to a more neutral setting. I see nine pros and nine cons, with six segments classified as "neutral". The Administration's budget includes plans to increase taxes by $7 trillion, which could have sig...

2024-05-12 07:08:03 ET Summary Since the Great Recession began, the Federal Reserve has changed how it functions and, consequently, has changed how commercial banks operate. Before, commercial banks adjusted their reserve positions through the Federal Funds markets, but now this m...

2024-05-12 07:00:00 ET Summary Hotter-than-expected inflation has put the Fed on a higher for longer policy path. The CPI has been rising consistently at roughly 3.5% since summer 2022, posing a disinflationary concern. The CPI has been on a linear upward trajectory for 19 mon...

2024-05-11 12:46:54 ET Summary After worrisome CPI inflation figures in March, that prompted hawkishness from the Fed, the April figures are particularly significant to look out for. Forecasts don't indicate reason for optimism though. Even as gasoline inflation can come off, the ...

2024-05-11 05:55:04 ET Summary Financial conditions work with a leg and it appears that the loose conditions transmitted from US to the world are increasingly showing up in economic data. Markets expect modest improvement in year-over-year inflation readings in next Wednesday's Ap...

2024-05-10 13:26:58 ET Summary Consumer sentiment dropped to a recession-like level, with current conditions also falling to levels associated with recessions since 1978. Inflation expectations increased, with one-year expectations at their highest level since November 2023 and a ...

2024-05-10 09:40:00 ET Summary With at least 65 countries heading to the polls this year, trade, foreign policy and regional economics could have an outsized influence on equity indexes. On top of the U.S., the U.K. and Europe are also holding general elections alongside Mexico an...

2024-05-10 09:10:00 ET Summary The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard shows progress as wage growth indicator moves from red to yellow. With this cooling of wage growth, you’ve seen this move from red to yellow, and ultimately this is a positive dynamic that would help co...

2024-05-10 07:50:00 ET Summary The four-week moving average of initial claims, which the Labor Department also provides, irons out the week-to-week squiggles. We’re looking for sharp increases in weekly claims for unemployment insurance benefits, and we’re looking fo...

2024-05-09 12:26:00 ET Summary The US growth story remains driven by consumer resilience. High income households are in a great financial position, but those on lower incomes are feeling intensifying stress. How these competing stories play out will be key to the growth outloo...