JJS News and Press, iPathA Series B Bloomberg Softs Subindex Total Return ETN From 03/07/23

2023-03-07 07:02:00 ET Summary Broad-based commodity cycles have typically had a major demand driver. In the 1970s, it was a weak U.S. dollar, and in the early 2000s it was Chinese growth. With potential growth in real GDP constrained by demographics, the focus is on supply constr...

Summary Tightening monetary policy, Europe’s energy crisis, and China’s COVID-19 lockdowns have contributed to risk aversion in the economy and markets. China’s early reopening from its COVID-19 lockdowns is already putting pressure on tight inventories. Destock...

Summary I think everyone can agree that stocks and bonds sold off last year because interest rates rose. Interest rates have certainly risen of late but they are still below the peaks of last year and almost unchanged since stocks made their low on October 12, 2022. One of the thing...

Summary For global equity investors, what’s important is to identify broad trajectories of growth and inflation rates, and then to forecast turning points, or changes in those trajectories. Olga Bitel, Global Equity Strategist, and Hugo Scott‐Gall, portfolio manager and co...

Summary Over the past year, banks have reported tighter lending standards on commercial loans to small, large, and middle-market firms. Large corporate bankruptcies have spiked the most since the 2008 financial crisis. Stock valuations typically tumble during recessions as the unemp...

Summary In 2023, both the demand and supply sides point to upward pressure across much of the set of commodity prices. The limits of lack of supply are visible in almost all segments, with stocks at operating levels in a critical situation and/or production capacity used to the limit. ...

Summary Three of the major investment themes of 2022 were: inflation and central bank responses; commodity and energy price spikes; and the China COVID lockdown. We discuss how each of these will likely play out in 2023. Our general market view for the year ahead is relatively sanguine,...

Summary December was a mixed month for commodity index strategies overall. Natural gas was the strongest commodity for most index strategies. The precious metals sector was the strongest performing sector in December, rising over 5%. Natural Gas Contributes From Rebalance ...

Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...

Summary In this post, we provide our key assumptions and outlook for 2023. We are relatively more optimistic than most, as we believe that we are already in the mid-late innings of this downturn. We believe that stabilizing interest rates will provide a base for valuations and expec...