JUST News and Press, Goldman Sachs JUST U.S. Large Cap Equity From 02/10/22

There’s an important disconnect between stocks and bonds today. Specially, I am looking at two fundamental indicators for evaluating long-term interest rates. The first is the performance of small cap stocks relative to large caps. Typically, this ratio has moved in concert wit...

While the market started the week a bit sloppily, the bulls charged back on Thursday as earnings season officially got underway. With the market crossing above significant resistance at the 50-DMA and turning both seasonal “buy signals” confirmed, it appears a push for p...

Global equities rose through most of the third quarter but gave up most of their gains in a volatile September. As the forces driving stock returns rapidly change in our COVID-scarred world, we believe active managers can help investors effectively navigate the recovery’s uncer...

While preference for growth or value investing can depend on factors like the economic cycle or time horizon, uncertainty in the current environment has amplified the growth vs. value debate. Although high-growth investments may seem more enticing during hot equity markets, value inve...

The post-lockdown recovery has been powerful, and most developed economies have seen double-digit gross domestic product (GDP) rebounds from 2020 lows. The reopening trade should resume in coming months. The cyclical stocks that comprise the value factor are reporting stronger earning...

Much of the outperformance of growth vs. value is explained by the persistently low-rate environment. Correlations between performance and the change in 10-year Treasuries seem to be getting stronger. Rolling 1-year correlation between changes in Treasury rates and growth/value re...

Looking at the 2022 “expected” growth rates for S&P 500 EPS and revenue particularly since August ’21, readers are still seeing upward revisions. With 27% of the S&P 500 being tech today, the “earnings weight” is far higher, closer to 22-23%....

This is a quarterly FOMC meeting, which will result in a statement and economic projections. It is likely that the Fed will indicate the beginning of the end for QE starts in November. The Fed may also downgrade its GDP growth outlook. For further details see: The Fed Ma...

The current slowdown was telegraphed by the bond market, and we’re now in the midst of it. There are any number of reasons to think the economy will just keep fading all the way back to the pre-COVID trend of about 2%. I don’t see any reason to believe we are near recess...

The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...