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Stock Symbol: LGOV
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LGOV - Rates Spark: Pricing Of ECB Cuts Facing Limits

2024-07-17 05:52:00 ET Summary Markets are now pricing in 48bp of ECB cuts in 2024, just shy of two full 25bp cuts. The rate-cutting narrative building in the US was the main driver of the increase, but in our view, the spillovers will be more limited. The Fed’s Be...

LGOV - Why The Fed's Picking Up Speed Toward Rate Cuts

2024-07-16 10:40:00 ET Summary Improving news on the inflation front will likely spur the Fed to kick off rate cuts earlier than we previously projected. Inflation’s cooling late last year encouraged the market to price in as many as six rate cuts this year. With inflat...

LGOV - Fed Rate Cuts - A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?

2024-07-16 09:20:00 ET Summary With both economic and inflation data continuing to weaken, expectations of Fed rate cuts are rising. Since January 2022, the market has repeatedly rallied on hopes of Fed cuts and a return to increased monetary accommodation. Given recent histor...

LGOV - Rates Spark: Trump Assassination Attempt Contributes To Steeper Curves

2024-07-16 08:00:00 ET Summary The UST curve steepened on the back of Trump’s assassination attempt, which was deemed likely to increase his chances of a win. The spillovers from a Trump presidency to EUR rates are more muddled. Eurozone rates have been helped down by t...

LGOV - The Fed Dithers While Inflation Withers

2024-07-16 02:20:00 ET Summary Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in his Senate appearance that he was encouraged by evidence of cooler inflation and that more “good data” would help get the Fed to where it wants to be. Powell also said the environment for rate cuts is ...

LGOV - Chart Of The Week: Treasury Yield Curve Signaling 'All Clear'

2024-07-15 14:05:00 ET Summary Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we’re seeing the 2-10 spread rise. Past p...

LGOV - Markets Confident That Rate Cuts Will Start In September

2024-07-15 10:15:00 ET Summary Signs that the US economy is slowing is another factor that supports a dovish pivot for monetary policy. The policy-sensitive US 2-year Treasury yield is also pricing in a softer Fed funds target rate. A crucial economic report this week will be ...

LGOV - Weekly Market Pulse: The Soft Landing Zone

2024-07-15 09:50:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index actually fell in June by 0.1%, but the year-over-year change was still 3%, a full percent higher than the Fed’s target. The Producer Price Index was a negative surprise, with a headline reading of +0.2% and a core read...

LGOV - Will A Softer U.S. Inflation Reading Be Enough To Convince The Fed To Cut?

2024-07-13 07:25:00 ET Summary Is the Fed ready to cut rates? Maybe not just yet. Inflation in US is softer in June, bolstering rate cut hopes. What softer U.S. inflation means for the bond market. ... Read the full article on Seeking Alpha For furthe...

LGOV - The Week Ahead - ECB Spotlight As Fed Rate Speculations Drive Market Shifts

2024-07-13 00:30:00 ET Summary US inflation data caused a significant selloff in US mega-cap tech stocks and a shift towards riskier areas of the market. The ECB interest rate decision is expected to bring no change, but the bank lending survey may shed light on the impact of high...

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