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2024-12-03 04:45:00 ET Summary Spreads on French government bonds are touching new highs again as Le Pen and the opposition are threatening to topple the government again. Spillovers to other markets remain limited, but the uncertainty ahead does help support the prevalent dovish ...
2024-12-03 02:40:00 ET Summary ON RRP is a Federal Reserve facility which allows money market funds to deposit their extra liquidity in the central bank overnight through a repurchase agreement. ON RRP rate has been set at a level that is 5 bps above the lower limit of the Fed fun...
2024-12-02 12:04:00 ET Summary Statistics reported by the Administrative Office of the US Courts show a 16% surge in bankruptcy filings in the 12 months before June 30, 2024, with 486,613 new cases, up from 418,724 the previous year. As the economy faces new challenges, this lag b...
2024-12-02 06:30:00 ET Summary The last two years have seen significant P/E expansion, while 2025 may see P/E contraction where the market is up in 2025 and has a positive return, but the return is less than the +13% expected EPS growth next year. It could happen under the Trump A...
2024-12-02 06:16:00 ET Summary If Nominal GDP continues to grow at around 5% for the next four years and the dollar amount of the deficit stays the same, the deficit would still be 5% of NGDP. 10-year Treasury yields ended the week down 23 basis points and about 11 basis points fo...
2024-12-01 23:54:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 is back into “P/E expansion” mode since early October ’24, with much of it happening in November post the election results. The first week of December ’24 is heavy with labor market data releases, culminati...
2024-11-28 02:00:00 ET Summary The 2024 US elections have been followed by a more modest yield curve steepening in US Treasuries than President-elect Trump’s victory in 2016, to date. This may be because the result was less of a surprise than 2016, given prediction markets,...
2024-11-27 13:05:00 ET Summary Finding opportunities in corporate bonds. What the spread between treasuries and corporates tells us. Potential headwinds in the corporate bond space. Recent economic data has been painting a mixed picture of the U.S. economy and raisin...
2024-11-27 04:30:00 ET Summary Following on from Monday's strong 2yr auction, Tuesday's 5yr auction was also taken down on tidy pricing. The latter is of particular note, as it's the richest (lowest yield) part of the curve. The drivers of market rates here are complex, arbitratin...
2024-11-26 04:40:00 ET Summary When the US election was called for Donald Trump the night of November 5, the stock market rose but the bond market fell. This strongly suggests that the news of Trump’s victory was seen as implying higher government budget deficit and debt number...
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2024-11-24 06:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-08-02 00:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-02 16:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...