LGOV News and Press, First Trust Long Duration Opportunities From 07/11/24

2024-07-11 22:55:00 ET Summary The June CPI reading puts the Federal Reserve (Fed) on the path for a September rate cut. June’s number shows a broad weakening in price pressures and is a convincing and consistent sign that inflation has resumed its downward path. Headli...

2024-07-11 01:05:00 ET Summary The 10Y is back in the 4.25% to 4.30% area, and looking for an excuse to dip lower. The CPI report will decide, and the expectation is it will provide a route for lower yields (but watch services prices). In contrast to the US, eurozone mark...

2024-07-11 00:30:00 ET Summary Anticipation is high for the release of US CPI data, which is expected to influence market movements, especially the US Dollar Index (DXY). The market has priced in a 71.8% chance of a September rate cut, and if inflation aligns with or falls below f...

2024-07-10 12:30:00 ET Summary French election: The second round of the legislative election was won by the far-left after the first round had gone to the far-right. UK election: The Labour Party more than doubled their seats in the House of Commons and Sir Keir Starmer is the new...

2024-07-10 12:20:00 ET Summary The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same direction, and the magnitude of their moveme...

2024-07-10 03:15:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Powell’s testimony didn’t give away much and markets continue to price in around a 75% probability for a September cut. French spreads remain elevated, but issuers are returning to EUR primary markets as event risks are abatin...

2024-07-09 12:59:00 ET Summary Progress appears to being made on the Fed’s aspiration of moving the economy into better balance and thus bringing inflation down towards the 2% target. Two-way risks are also increasingly being acknowledged and if the data moves in the direct...

2024-07-09 03:04:00 ET Summary A more dovish Powell would help firm up the September cut expectations ahead of the CPI release due Thursday. Whereas in the US, we see the rate-cutting narrative picking up momentum; in the Eurozone, the direction is less evident. The 10Y B...

2024-07-08 14:35:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index rose to fresh record highs on Friday. The latest jobs data helped add to bullish sentiment. Along with other recent reports, Friday’s one suggests the economy is cooling without collapsing. That is re...

2024-07-08 07:55:00 ET Summary The S&P Global US composite PMI was a little less than expected but above 50 at 51.6 while the ISM manufacturing PMI was slightly less than expected at 48.5. Construction spending, which has been an economic bright spot for at least the last year...