OLEM News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN REDEEM 18/04/2041 USD 50 - 06740P221 From 10/25/22

Summary The root of Europe’s energy crisis is under-investment or outright dis-investment in nuclear energy and natural gas production/storage/transportation, combined with over-reliance on intermittent and relatively inefficient forms of renewable energy. Russia’s i...

Summary We can’t prevent the government or the Fed from implementing inflationary policies, so we might as well get used to inflation and learn to profit from it. There are ways to profit from inflation without selling stocks. Not only can we buy shares of fossil fuel compa...

Summary I have said for weeks that the Fed needs to slow the pace of its tightening campaign. Powell apparently decided last week that the market was taking things too far. Corporate earnings are being released for the quarter and, so far, they aren’t that bad. It w...

Summary OPEC crude output was revised lower in August 2022 by 30 kb/d compared to last month’s report. World liquids supply was 10.4 Mb/d higher than 2 years ago, OPEC crude output accounted for 5.3 Mb/d of this increase (51%). The annual decline rate for World C+C minu...

Summary Energy sector volatility and surging oil prices have sharply boosted interest in energy trading this year. Clients can also obtain relative value, or alpha, by rotating between outperforming and underperforming sectors underlying a broad index, according to Woolman. Th...

Summary US oil demand is bottoming. Couple that with the recent OPEC+ cut and the SPR announcement, and we have ourselves a nice floor for oil going forward. Energy stock valuations, as a result, should gradually rerate higher as generalists underwrite E&Ps using $70/bbl W...

Summary Resource equities continued to exhibit remarkable resiliency during the quarter, with the S&P Global Natural Resources Index outpacing global equities and global bonds over the 3-month period. Macroeconomic themes mostly continued to dominate all resource equity-relate...

Summary Oil prices could be higher for longer. Demand continues to grow globally, despite the short-term impact of the pandemic. Supply is constrained, due to ESG mandates, regulation, and underinvestment in new production. OPEC has shown it's willing to do what is needed to k...

Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...

Summary The nearby futures price of WTI declined about 25%, and at $80 per barrel was more than 10% lower than it was before the start of the Russian-Ukrainian war. The uncertain evolution of geopolitical and economic conditions in 2022 and onward make oil balances difficult to pi...