OPER News and Press, ETF Series Solutions ClearShares Ultra-Short Maturity From 05/14/21

CPI estimates for last month represented a seismic shift in the inflation debate. Producer prices, or PPI, came up even more over the moon than those for consumers. Transitory inflation is no inflation at all; unusually low nominal and real yields all around. You really have to wo...

Tapering fear is not affecting all financial markets alike, reflecting the nature of purchases, but also the drama surrounding each ECB meeting. Even if the path towards normalisation at the ECB is far from straightforward, the extent of its approximately €100 billion purchases...

It's not easy to grasp the rhythm coming from the US right now. Like any good hip hop mix, the rap is upbeat but the rhyme has a complexity toit. Inflationary tendencies are setting a hot beat, but there is a murky undercurrent coming from deep negative US real rates. The official...

Our Consumer Price Index may show some inflation, but the Treasury markets certainly do not reflect it. We have had a casino mentality in the equity markets for some time now, but rolling the dice and spinning the wheel have consequences - and they are beginning to show up. The eq...

This year highlights the titanic struggle between the two monsters ruling interest rates markets: carry and volatility. The latter has driven rates over the past few weeks, but the respite could mean a sharper adjustment higher in rates and volatility down the line. There is poten...

Supply-side bottlenecks have increased prices for businesses. The longer these disruptions last, the higher the likelihood businesses pass on the rising costs to consumers. The impact of supply chain disruptions will also be felt in the medium to long term. For further detai...

It would appear that we have hit the bottom of the range on the 10-year Treasury yields and are getting ready to move back to the top of the recent range for yields, which is now 1.77%. I think Treasury yields will rise this week with resulting implications for the stock market, which...

Treasury Secretary Yellen is sticking to the Fed’s prediction that inflation will be “transitory.”. Wednesday’s ADP report created giddy expectations of one million or more total jobs created in April, counting all sectors, but the Labor Department reported...

One weak US payrolls number does not change the big picture, and one big inflation print tomorrow will likely not also. It will confirm a big rise in prices in the past year though. That's a clear outcome, but the Fed needs more - a string of them. This is a bond market that has i...

Markets are still grappling with the Federal Reserve's new framework, leading to a disconnect between market pricing and the Fed’s projections for rates. U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April. We believe near-term activity data will unlikely affect the Fed’s polic...