QVMS News and Press, Invesco S&P SmallCap 600 QVM Multi-factor ETF From 12/22/22

Summary Terminal rate pushed from 4.6% to 5.1% in Fed’s dot plot last Wednesday. FFR at 4.25-4.50%, which caused a selloff. Bears/Pessimists always sound sophisticated and smarter than the rest, but bulls/Optimists wind up with all of the money over time. The stock market bot...

Summary Individual investors have reduced equity exposure over this time period to the tune of $-448.2 billion for U.S. equity. With cumulative equity flows being negative, it is possible individual investors are under equity and now beginning to increase their exposure given the pullba...

Summary Real consumer spending overall rose at a revised 2.3 percent annualized rate and contributed a total of 1.54 percentage points to real GDP growth. Consumer services led the growth in overall consumer spending, posting a 3.7 percent annualized rate. Lingering upward price pre...

Summary The misery of 2022 has continued when it comes to investor sentiment. In the latest weekly AAII poll, bullish sentiment declined from 24.3% down to 20.3%. There hasn’t been a single week this year where bullish sentiment has been above its historical average of 37.6%...

Summary If 2022 was about the Fed, 2023 is likely to be about the Fed and earnings. If the economy is heading for a recession similar to 2001 and 2008, the S&P 500 could fall below 3,000. If the economy is heading for just a period of slower growth, then the S&P 500 could he...

Summary Has the BOJ opened a can of worms for global monetary policy? Are central banks amid their huge target misses getting ready to shift their policy targets or monetary approaches? Inflation targeting is a black-box world - when central banks miss their targets, do those target...

Summary Last week the Fed reiterated its intention to snuff out inflation with still more hikes. But beginning about 6-8 months ago, when (not coincidentally) the Fed started to raise interest rates, inflation started to decline. In the housing market it's beginning to look like int...

Summary Inflation and central bank policy will likely continue being key focus points for investors. 2023 may not see a repeat of the frantic Federal Reserve activity that characterized 2022, but policy rates almost certainly still have further to rise. While 2023, with its challeng...

Summary This year is notable for bonds transitioning from a risk mitigant to a source of risk. One way to measure this is by tracking bond market volatility. Can yields and yield vol remain contained? Today, markets seem more aligned with the central bank’s intentions, and we...

Summary While falling commodity prices signal potential easing in inflation, it’s not necessarily a good sign. That’s because assets peak in a predictable order: bonds, stocks, and then commodities. Crude Oil has fallen to the lowest level in over a year, suffering a weekl...