RHS News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples From 06/16/22

A drop in big-ticket purchases such as autos serves as a canary in the coal mine. Americans were spending more because of rising prices. The mainstream claims that wages are rising and that enables Americans to keep up with rising prices. For further details see: Retail ...

AIER’s Leading Indicators Index returned to a neutral 50 reading in May, rising four points following an eight-point fall in April. While broad trends and risks continue, there are some signs of inflection in a few areas. The Roughly Coincident Indicators index fell back in...

Retail sales and food-services spending fell 0.3 percent in May following a 0.7 percent gain in April. Real total and real core retail sales are both well above prior trends. Overall, retail sales fell for the month and were dragged down by slower auto sales but remain well above ...

US retail sales were softer in May and there were downward revisions to April. Nonetheless, consumer spending can still grow strongly in the second quarter given a greater focus on services such as leisure and entertainment. However, the cost of living squeeze means households are...

Have we seen the worst of expectations for Fed hikes? Retailer discounting a driver in the rollover of inflation expectations. Beware of backward-looking earnings estimates. For further details see: Beware Of Backward-Looking Earnings Estimates

The year-over-year change in core CPI peaked in March and is coming down, albeit slower than we’d all like to see. The economy is slowing in some areas and inflation is still high but probably peaking. Bond yields are starting to look pretty attractive relative to stock div...

The broader retail space has been weak relative to the S&P 500 so far this year. On a YTD basis, the VanEck Vectors Retail ETF has underperformed the S&P 500 by 4.5 percentage points, trading down by 18.2% as of today. The market seems to believe that consumers will move d...

The price multiples of Walgreens are very low, and through a discounted cash flow I calculated a fair value of $78.42, well above the current $43. Walgreens management has realized that the company needs a jolt to improve its growth rates, and over the past year has decided to invest ...

Brewer Molson Coors has been battling volume declines for years in its mainstream beer offerings, while debt has also been an issue. With brewers naturally exhibiting significant fixed cost leverage, volume declines pose a real threat to cash flow, while inflation could also pose some...

According to the latest estimates from deStatis, retail sales crashed by 5.4% in April 2022 when compared to March; nearly identical m/m results from the prior April. Only this time, no case count conundrum or overstimulated government in sight. No one can blame the pandemic for this ...