RJI News and Press, AB Svensk Ekportkredit ELEMENTS Linked to the Rogers International Commodity Index - Total Return Structured Product From 03/15/22

Putin’s gamble, and the West’s response, has brought into view one of the few existential tail risks that isn’t a Black Swan: the risk of an escalation into war between Russia and NATO, and the exchange of nuclear weaponry. We also know that the war between Ukrain...

Inflation and its implications for real economic growth are the main portfolio positioning consideration of the conflict in Ukraine. On the 8th of March, the U.S. sanctioned Russian energy imports, giving companies 45 days to comply. Higher commodity prices are not the only factor...

The yield curve has flattened considerably and the spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield is currently just 25 basis points. Many of the large, popular stocks are still grossly overvalued in my opinion. Value stocks continue to outperform. For further details s...

President Biden implemented a ban on crude oil imports from Russia, which caused crude to hit 130.50. Nickel has gone through the roof as a consequence of supply issues related to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Green energy and other possible energy sources cannot, at this point...

Events in Europe were seen as boosting global inflationary pressures and complicating supply chain disruptions. US producers are beginning to feel the effects of the inflationary environment via higher input costs. Most commodities are trading above the marginal cost of supply and...

Extreme monetary and fiscal policy would lead to inflation. Couple that with extreme supply chain issues, and here we are with really high inflation - highest inflation that we've seen really since the past 40 years. Our biggest risk right now is that we become entrenched. The psychol...

I have seen a fair amount of chatter about currency regime shifts. Although such an event may be happening, there is no particular reason to get too excited about it from the perspective of the developed countries. The events of recent years hopefully have made corporations more cogni...

Buyers (countries, investors, and traders) are panicking as the commodity Wheat gained more than 40% last week. Commodity markets surged to their largest gains in years as Ukrainian ports were closed and sanctions against Russia sent buyers scrambling for replacement supplies. Giv...

With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into its second week, the economic fallout is gradually coming into focus. In our view, it is highly likely that economic growth will slow in the US and globally, but less so in the U.S. We expect market volatility to remain elevated for an...

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for the cycle outlook. The global economy was on track for strongly above-trend growth in 2022. The war in Ukraine will likely have a negative impact on growth and cause higher inflation this year, with Europe tak...